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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Deportivo Riestra - Instituto

04/11/2026, 06:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Deportivo Riestra
1.0
Total xG
1.9
Instituto
0.9
最可能的比分

0:0

16%

1:1

15%

1:0

13%

0:1

11%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
DRINS

Deportivo Riestra

小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.08
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.06
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.05
主场表现强势 (场均1球 vs 总体0.4球)

Instituto

小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.11
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.35倍)
-0.07
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.02
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.47
-0.47
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

35%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

59%

Under 1.5

41%

Over 2.5

30%

Under 2.5

70%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

65%

双方进球

40%

60%

关键因素
  • Deportivo Riestra's offensive struggles: Goal production is stagnant with an average of 0.25 goals per game, and only 0.25 goals per game at home
  • Instituto's defensive vulnerability away: The team concedes an average of 4.00 goals per away game
  • Tendency for a draw: The mathematical analysis predicts a close outcome with a 36% home win and a 35% draw
风险因素
  • Deportivo Riestra averages only 0.25 home goals scored per game
  • Instituto concedes an average of 4.00 goals per away game
概述

Deportivo Riestra (15th place, 7 points) hosts Instituto (11th place, 14 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The match is scheduled for April 11, 2026, 7:00 PM. Deportivo Riestra is fighting to catch up to the mid-table, while Instituto aims to improve its league position.

近期状态

Deportivo Riestra is in a challenging run of form with a DDLDL record across all competitions. This equates to 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. Their last match ended in a loss.

Instituto shows mixed form with LLWLW in all competitions. This means 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses. They won their last game. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Deportivo Riestra averages only 0.25 goals scored per game and concedes 0.75 goals. They kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score in 9 matches. In home games, their average is 0.25 goals scored and 0.38 goals conceded, with 3 clean sheets.

Instituto averages 1.08 goals scored per game and concedes 1.25 goals. They kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score in 4 matches. In away games, they have averaged 1.00 goals scored and 4.00 goals conceded, with 0 clean sheets.

历史交锋

In the 3 previous head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra secured 1 win and Instituto claimed 2 wins, with no draws. Deportivo Riestra scored 2 goals, while Instituto scored 5 goals. The last encounter was won by Deportivo Riestra with a 1:0 scoreline on October 20, 2025.

关键球员

For Deportivo Riestra, Antony Alonso is an important attacking player with 2 season goals and stable form. Cristian Paz, a defender, has a season average rating of 6.81, but his form is slightly declining. Goalkeeper Ignacio Arce shows a solid season rating of 7.15, though his recent form is also declining.

For Instituto, Alex Luna is a key player with 4 goals and 1 assist this season, although his recent form is slightly declining. Defender Giuliano Cerato has 2 season goals and 1 assist, and his form is stable. Midfielder Gastón Lodico showed a season average rating of 7.23 and is in stable form.

门将

Deportivo Riestra's goalkeeper, Ignacio Arce, has made 12 appearances and achieved 4 clean sheets. For Instituto, Manuel Roffo has played in 12 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

影响因素

Deportivo Riestra scored 2 goals and conceded 3 goals in 8 home games. Instituto scored 2 goals and conceded 8 goals in 2 away games.

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