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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Estudiantes - Unión Santa Fe

04/11/2026, 08:15 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Estudiantes
1.2
Total xG
2.3
Unión Santa Fe
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

11%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
ESTUSF

Estudiantes

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.58
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.02
Tiago Palacios替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Mikel Amondarain替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Guido Carrillo替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)

Unión Santa Fe

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.56倍)
+0.20
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.02
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1.8球)
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.47
-0.47
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

32%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

68%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 39% probability of a home win for Estudiantes
  • Estudiantes has a strong home defensive record with an average of 0.38 goals conceded per home game
  • Unión Santa Fe demonstrates consistent attacking output with an average of 1.5 goals per game
概述

Estudiantes (2nd place, 21 points) host Unión Santa Fe (4th place, 19 points) in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match. The encounter takes place on April 11, 2026, 9:15 PM. Both teams are in the upper half of the table, aiming for an improved position.

近期状态

Estudiantes' recent form is LLWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches. Their last game resulted in a loss. Unión Santa Fe's form is WDDLW with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games, and they won their most recent match.

统计数据

Estudiantes averages 1.17 goals scored per game and concedes 0.5 goals per game this season. At home, they average 1.12 goals scored and 0.38 goals conceded. The team kept 6 clean sheets, 3 of which were at home. Unión Santa Fe averages 1.5 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per game. Away from home, they score an average of 1.43 goals and concede 1.57 goals. Unión Santa Fe has kept 5 clean sheets, none of which were away. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 of Estudiantes' matches and 5 of Unión Santa Fe's matches.

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes and Unión Santa Fe each have 1 win, with 1 draw. The goal difference is 3:2 in favor of Estudiantes. The last encounter saw Unión Santa Fe win away with a score of 1:0 on July 15, 2025.

关键球员

Adolfo Gaich, Estudiantes' attacker, has 3 season goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.04, showing a rising form trend (avg 7.28 in last 5 games). Midfielder Alexis Castro scored 2 goals this season and also shows rising form (avg 7.26 in last 5 games). Attacker Fabricio Pérez has 2 season goals. Not nominated: Tiago Palacios (3G/2A), Mikel Amondarain (1G/1A), Guido Carrillo (1G/1A). For Unión Santa Fe, Cristian Tarragona is the top scorer with 6 season goals. Midfielder Julián Palacios contributed 2 goals and 3 assists with stable form (avg 7.06 in last 5 games). Midfielder Rafael Profini recorded 1 season goal and 5 assists.

门将

Fernando Muslera, Estudiantes' goalkeeper, played in 8 season matches. Estudiantes recorded 6 clean sheets. Matías Mansilla, Unión Santa Fe's goalkeeper, played in 12 season matches. Unión Santa Fe had 5 clean sheets.

影响因素

Estudiantes has an average of 1.12 home goals scored and 0.38 home goals conceded. Unión Santa Fe scored an average of 1.43 goals away and conceded 1.57 goals away.

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