Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Newell's Old Boys - San Lorenzo
04/12/2026, 06:00 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.1
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
13%0:1
10%2:0
8%xG 分解
Newell's Old Boys
San Lorenzo
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
33%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
63%
Under 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The model forecasts a home win probability of 39% and a double chance (home or draw) of 72%
- Defensive Strength: San Lorenzo demonstrates defensive stability with an average of 1.0 goal conceded per game and a total of 6 clean sheets
- Offensive Trend: Newell's Old Boys are currently scoring more frequently (1.0 goals) than their season average (0.8 goals) according to Advanced Stats
风险因素
- Newell's Old Boys averaged only 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
- San Lorenzo will be without the unlisted players Facundo Gulli (2 assists) and Luciano Vietto (2 goals)
- Newell's Old Boys will be without the unlisted Walter Núñez (1 goal, 1 assist)
概述
Newell's Old Boys (1st place, 0 points) host San Lorenzo (3rd place, 0 points) in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on April 12, 2026, 7:00 PM. The mathematical analysis suggests a slight advantage for the home team. The model calculates a home win probability of 39%.
近期状态
Newell's Old Boys' last five matches show a form of LDLWW, which translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their most recent game was a win.
San Lorenzo's form is DDLDW, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five outings. They also won their last match.
统计数据
Newell's Old Boys has scored an average of 0.83 goals per game this season and conceded 1.92 goals. In home games, the average is 0.83 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded.
San Lorenzo averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 goal conceded per game this season. Away from home, they have scored 1.0 goal and conceded 1.0 goal per game. San Lorenzo has achieved 6 clean sheets this season, with 3 of them away.
历史交锋
Historically, there has only been 1 head-to-head match between Newell's Old Boys and San Lorenzo. This game ended in a 1:1 draw. The last encounter was on July 27, 2024, and also ended in a draw.
关键球员
For Newell's Old Boys, Matías Cóccaro (1 goal, 2 assists, avg rating 6.75) and Oscar Salomón (2 goals, 0 assists, avg rating 6.98) are key players. Jeronimo Russo has 2 assists and shows a rising form with an average rating of 7.16 in his last 5 games.
San Lorenzo's Alexis Cuello stands out with 4 goals and 3 assists (avg rating 6.94), although his form is slightly declining. Rodrigo Auzmendi has scored 2 goals in 3 appearances (avg rating 6.85). Gregorio Rodríguez contributed 2 season goals (avg rating 6.71).
门将
Newell's Old Boys goalkeeper Josué Reinatti has made 1 season appearance. The team has recorded a total of 1 clean sheet this season.
San Lorenzo goalkeeper Orlando Gill has played in 11 season games. San Lorenzo has managed 6 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
Newell's Old Boys scores an average of 0.83 home goals and concedes 1.5 home goals per game. San Lorenzo scores an average of 1.0 away goal and concedes 1.0 away goal.