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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors

04/11/2026, 06:30 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Independiente Rivadavia
1.0
Total xG
2.2
Argentinos Juniors
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

0:1

12%

1:0

10%

0:2

8%
xG 分解
IRAJ

Independiente Rivadavia

小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.18
防守不足 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.18
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.04
Sebastián Villa替补席 (0球, 5助攻)
José Florentín替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Luciano Gómez替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Argentinos Juniors

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.38倍)
+0.57
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
-0.26
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.11
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.11
防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均0.8球)
-0.07
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.47
-0.47
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

29%

平局

33%

客胜

38%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

62%

客胜或平局

71%

非平局

67%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Argentinos Juniors with a 38% probability
  • Argentinos Juniors recently showed very strong form with 4 consecutive wins
  • Independiente Rivadavia has the stronger season offense with an average of 1.67 goals per game
风险因素
  • Argentinos Juniors has several absences, including L. Lozano Fernández (Muscle Tear) and M. Giménez Rojas (Cruciate Ligament Tear)
  • Argentinos Juniors averaged 4.6 shots on target in their last 5 games with 68% possession
概述

Independiente Rivadavia (1st place, 26 points) host Argentinos Juniors (3rd place, 23 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on April 11, 2026, 7:30 PM

This is a top-of-the-table clash

近期状态

Independiente Rivadavia shows good form with DLWWW from their last five matches across all competitions

This translates to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Argentinos Juniors is in excellent condition with DWWWW in their last five games

They recorded 4 wins and 1 draw in this period

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Independiente Rivadavia averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 goals conceded per game this season

At home, they average 1.57 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded

They kept 3 clean sheets this season

Argentinos Juniors scores an average of 1.08 goals per game and concedes only 0.58 goals

Away from home, they score 1.00 goal and concede 0.75 goals

Argentinos Juniors kept 7 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 8 matches for Independiente Rivadavia and 5 matches for Argentinos Juniors

6 matches of Independiente Rivadavia and 3 matches of Argentinos Juniors ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches, Independiente Rivadavia historically dominated

They won 2 of the games, while Argentinos Juniors could not secure a victory

There was 1 draw between the teams

Independiente Rivadavia scored a total of 4 goals, Argentinos Juniors 2 goals

The last encounter was won by Independiente Rivadavia with a 2:1 score on August 30, 2025

关键球员

For Independiente Rivadavia, the following players stand out

Fabrizio Sartori scored 5 goals this season and achieved an average rating of 6.82

Alejo Osella contributed 3 season goals and has an average rating of 6.77

Gonzalo Ríos recorded 1 goal and 2 assists with a season average rating of 6.58

On the side of Argentinos Juniors, the following players are notable

Nicolás Oroz has 2 goals and 2 assists with a season average rating of 7.17

Alan Lescano scored 2 goals this season with an average rating of 7.01

Hernán López Muñoz contributed 2 goals and 2 assists, with an average rating of 7.11

门将

Independiente Rivadavia relies on Nicolás Bolcato, who kept 3 clean sheets this season

His performance in the last 5 games shows a rising trend with an average rating of 7.02

Brayan Josué Cortés Fernández of Argentinos Juniors recorded 7 clean sheets this season

His current form is stable with an average rating of 6.71 in the last 5 games

影响因素

Independiente Rivadavia benefits from home advantage

They average 1.57 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded at home

Argentinos Juniors averages 1.00 goal scored and 0.75 goals conceded away from home

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