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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Atlético Tucumán - Tigre

04/12/2026, 08:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Atlético Tucumán
1.1
Total xG
2.1
Tigre
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

12%

0:1

10%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
ATTIG

Atlético Tucumán

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.3倍)
-0.18
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.12
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.11
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.2球)
全员可用

Tigre

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.36倍)
+0.24
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.23
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.20
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.20
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.09
David Romero未进大名单 (6球, 2助攻)
Ignacio Russo替补席 (4球, 2助攻)
Alan Barrionuevo替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
64%进球产出缺失 (仅35%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.46
-0.46
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

33%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

67%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Critical absences for Tigre: Only 35% of the usual starting eleven's goal threat is available, without David Romero, Ignacio Russo, Alan Barrionuevo
  • Mathematical prediction: The model projects a close match with a 36% home win and 33% draw probability
  • Struggling offense: Both teams show a negative form trend and stagnant goal production according to Advanced Stats
风险因素
  • Limited data availability for duels in the home team's last five games
  • The low Over 2.5 goals probability of 36% indicates a potentially low-scoring match
概述

Atlético Tucumán (13th place, 9 points) host Tigre (8th place, 17 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The match will take place on April 12, 2026, 5:30 PM. Atlético Tucumán aims to climb out of the lower table region, while Tigre seeks to consolidate its mid-table position.

近期状态

Atlético Tucumán's form in the last five games is LDLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). The team recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses during this period. The last result was a loss.

Tigre's form in the last five games is DDDLL. This means 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. Tigre lost their last two matches.

统计数据

Atlético Tucumán has scored an average of 1.08 goals per game this season and conceded 1.5 goals per game. The team kept 3 clean sheets in home games.

Tigre has scored an average of 1.33 goals per game and conceded 1.0 goals per game. In away games, Tigre averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded. The team kept 1 clean sheet in away games.

历史交锋

Historically, there has been 1 head-to-head match between these two teams. Tigre won this single game, scoring 2 goals, while Atlético Tucumán scored 1 goal. The last encounter ended on October 8, 2024, with a 1:2 victory for Tigre.

关键球员

For Atlético Tucumán, Leandro Díaz is an important offensive player with 5 goals and 1 assist this season, although his form trend is declining. Franco Nicola recently showed a rising form trend with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last five games. Ezequiel Ham contributed 1 assist in the last five games and is also in a rising form trend.

For Tigre, Alfio Oviedo is in rising form with 1 seasonal goal and 1 goal in the last five games. Santiago López has provided 2 assists in the last five games and shows stable form. Federico Álvarez contributed 1 assist in the last five games.

门将

Luis Ingolotti is the goalkeeper for Atlético Tucumán and has recorded 3 clean sheets this season.

Felipe Zenobio is in goal for Tigre, who has also achieved 3 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Atlético Tucumán shows a solid defense at home, conceding an average of 0.83 goals per home game while scoring 1.17 home goals.

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