Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Banfield - Independiente Rivadavia
04/20/2026, 08:15 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.1
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
12%0:1
10%2:1
8%xG 分解
Banfield
Independiente Rivadavia
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
33%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- Form disparity: Independiente Rivadavia with 4 consecutive wins, while Banfield lost 4 of their last 5 games
- Guests' offensive strength: Independiente Rivadavia scores an average of 1.80 goals per away game and 1.77 goals overall per match
- Banfield's home strength: With only 0.67 goals conceded per home game, Banfield shows a stable home defense
风险因素
- Tight prediction model: The mathematical analysis shows relatively balanced win probabilities (home win 37%, draw 33%, away win 30%), indicating an unclear outcome
- Historical record: Banfield dominated direct duels with 2 wins and 1 draw from 3 matches, which could pose a challenge for Independiente Rivadavia
- Reduced goal threat: Independiente Rivadavia is missing players like Sebastián Villa (0G/5A), Matías Fernández (2G/1A), Luciano Gómez (1G/1A), reducing active assist share to 73%
概述
Banfield (4th place) host Independiente Rivadavia (1st place, 29 points) on April 20, 2026, 8:15 PM, in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The mathematical analysis predicts a close match with a slight home advantage (37% for Banfield, 33% for a draw, and 30% for Independiente Rivadavia)
近期状态
Banfield shows poor form with 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5 games (LLWLL). They recently suffered two consecutive losses. Independiente Rivadavia, however, is in excellent condition with 4 wins and 1 loss (LWWWW). The team won their last four matches
统计数据
Banfield averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded per game this season. At home, their stats improve to 1.11 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded per home game. Independiente Rivadavia shows stronger offense with an average of 1.77 goals scored per game and 1.00 goals conceded. Away from home, they are particularly effective with 1.80 goals scored and only 0.80 goals conceded per away game. The pipeline analysis expects 1.13 goals for Banfield and 1.01 goals for Independiente Rivadavia
历史交锋
In 3 previous head-to-head matches, Banfield has the upper hand. They won 2 games, with 1 draw, and Independiente Rivadavia is yet to secure a victory. The goal difference stands at 5:2 in favor of Banfield. The last encounter on October 18, 2025, ended in a 2:1 victory for Banfield
关键球员
For Banfield, Mauro Méndez (6 goals, 3 assists), Santiago López García (1 goal, 3 assists), and Tiziano Perrota (3 goals, 1 assist) are key players. For Independiente Rivadavia, Fabrizio Sartori (5 goals), Alejo Osella (4 goals), and José Florentín (3 goals) stand out. José Florentín is in rising form with 3 goals in his last 5 games
门将
Banfield's goalkeeper, Facundo Sanguinetti, played 13 games and contributed to 3 clean sheets for his team. For Independiente Rivadavia, Nicolás Bolcato was in goal for 13 games, also with 3 clean sheets for his team. Nicolás Bolcato shows a rising form
影响因素
Banfield exhibits a home advantage with 1.11 goals scored and only 0.67 goals conceded in home games. Independiente Rivadavia proves to be a strong away team, scoring 1.80 goals and conceding 0.80 goals per away game