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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

04/18/2026, 06:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Gimnasia La Plata
1.3
Total xG
2.3
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

11%

2:0

9%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
GLPEDRC

Gimnasia La Plata

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.40
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.28
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.2球)
-0.01
Nacho Fernández未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Manuel Panaro替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.86
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
+0.29
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
-0.17
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.05
状态下滑 (0.2 vs 0.4 赛季平均)
-0.03
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.45
-0.45
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

31%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

69%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: Gimnasia La Plata is favored with a 42% home win probability and 1.32 predicted goals
  • Away weakness: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto concedes an average of 4.33 goals per away game
  • Form disparity: Gimnasia La Plata shows a form of 2 wins and 3 losses, while Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has 1 draw and 4 losses
风险因素
  • Gimnasia La Plata had only 5 days since their last match
  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto averaged 1.8 shots on target in their last 5 games (low shot count)
概述

Gimnasia La Plata host Estudiantes de Río Cuarto in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on April 18, 2026, 8:00 PM

The mathematical analysis favors Gimnasia La Plata with a home win probability of 42%

Gimnasia La Plata is expected to score 1.32 goals, while Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is expected to score 1.00 goals

近期状态

Gimnasia La Plata's current form is WLLLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The team has 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

Gimnasia La Plata recently won 2-1 against Sarmiento

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's form is LLLDL

The team has 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 5 matches

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto recently lost 1-2 to Barracas Central

统计数据

Gimnasia La Plata averages 1.15 goals scored and 1.46 goals conceded per season

At home, Gimnasia La Plata averages 1.14 goals scored and 1.43 goals conceded

The team achieved 2 clean sheets and failed to score in 5 matches

Both teams scored in 7 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 games

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto averages 0.31 goals scored and 1.46 goals conceded per season

Away from home, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto averages 0.33 goals scored and 4.33 goals conceded

The team achieved 3 clean sheets and failed to score in 10 matches

Both teams scored in 2 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 games

历史交锋

No head-to-head data is available for Gimnasia La Plata vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

关键球员

For Gimnasia La Plata, key players include Marcelo Torres (4 goals, 1 assist), Nicolás Barros Schelotto (3 goals, 2 assists), and Alexis Steimbach (0 goals, 3 assists)

Marcelo Torres scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in his last 4 games with an average rating of 6.72

Nicolás Barros Schelotto registered 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 4 games with an average rating of 7.17

Alexis Steimbach provided 2 assists in his last 5 games with an average rating of 6.84

For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, Facundo Cobos (1 goal, 0 assists), Martín Garnerone (1 goal, 0 assists), and Gabriel Alanís (1 goal, 0 assists) are notable

Facundo Cobos scored 1 goal in his last 4 games

Martín Garnerone had no direct goal contributions in his last 4 games with an average rating of 6.46

Gabriel Alanís had no direct goal contributions in his last 4 games with an average rating of 6.70

门将

Gimnasia La Plata's goalkeeper is Nelson Insfrán, who contributed to 2 clean sheets for his team in 11 season appearances

For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, Agustín Lastra is in goal, contributing to 3 clean sheets for his team in 8 season appearances

影响因素

Gimnasia La Plata averages 1.14 goals scored at home and 1.43 goals conceded

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has a poor away record, averaging 0.33 goals scored and 4.33 goals conceded per away game

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