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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Barracas Central - Belgrano

04/20/2026, 06:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Barracas Central
1.1
Total xG
2.1
Belgrano
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

12%

0:1

10%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
BCBEL

Barracas Central

状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.17
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.09
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.07

Belgrano

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.23倍)
+0.27
防守不足 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.22
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.17
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.13
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
-0.13
Lucas Passerini 替补席 (0球, 3助攻)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.45
-0.45
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

33%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

67%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Barracas Central shows better recent form (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) and a positive goal-scoring trend (1.8 recent goals vs. 1.2 season average)
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a slight home advantage for Barracas Central (36% win) or a draw (33%), resulting in a 69% chance for home or draw
  • The head-to-head record between both teams shows a strong tendency for draws, with all 3 encounters ending in stalemates
风险因素
  • Belgrano's form trend is declining, and their goal production is reduced, with 0.8 recent goals compared to a season average of 1.2
  • Both teams have shown low average shots on target in recent games (Barracas Central 3.0, Belgrano 2.0), suggesting a potentially low-scoring match
概述

Barracas Central hosts Belgrano in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match

The game takes place on April 20, 2026, 6:00 PM

Belgrano holds 5th place with 22 points

The mathematical analysis predicts a close encounter with a 36% probability for a home win and 33% for a draw

近期状态

Barracas Central's recent form in the last five games is WWDLW

The team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Their last appearance resulted in a win

Belgrano's form in the last five games is WDLLW

This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Belgrano also won their last match

Barracas Central shows a positive form trend, while Belgrano's trend is negative

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Barracas Central scores an average of 1.0 goals per game and concedes 0.92 goals per game

The team achieved 3 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 7 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 5 games

In home games, Barracas Central also scores 1.0 goals and concedes 0.75 goals per match

Belgrano scores an average of 1.0 goals per game and concedes 0.92 goals per game

The team had 6 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 6 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 5 games

In away games, Belgrano scores 1.0 goals and concedes 1.33 goals per match

Barracas Central currently scores more often (1.8) than their season average (1.2)

Belgrano's goal production is faltering (0.8), with a season average of 1.2

历史交锋

There have been a total of 3 head-to-head matches between Barracas Central and Belgrano

All 3 encounters ended in a draw

The goal difference is even at 3:3

The last meeting on September 29, 2025, also ended in a 1:1 draw

关键球员

For Barracas Central, Rodrigo Insúa could be crucial with 3 season goals and 1 assist, plus 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Tomás Porra contributed 3 assists this season, 2 of which were in the last 5 games

Norberto Briasco scored 1 season goal and 1 goal in the last 5 games

For Belgrano, Lucas Zelarayán stands out with 4 season goals and 1 assist, including 1 goal in the last 5 games

Nicolás Fernández has 1 season goal and 4 assists, with 1 assist in the last 5 games

Lisandro López contributed 1 season assist, also achieved in the last 5 games

For Belgrano, Lucas Passerini (0G/3A) was not nominated

门将

Barracas Central's goalkeeper, Juan Espínola, made 3 appearances with an average rating of 6.75

The team kept 3 clean sheets this season

For Belgrano, Thiago Cardozo was in goal for 13 games with an average rating of 6.98, but with a declining form trend

Belgrano recorded 6 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Barracas Central scores an average of 1.0 goals per home game and concedes 0.75 goals per home game

Belgrano scores an average of 1.0 goals per away game and concedes 1.33 goals per away game

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