Liga Profesional de Fútbol
San Lorenzo - Vélez Sarsfield
04/20/2026, 10:30 PM
预期进球
1.0
2.3
1.3
1:1
15%0:0
12%0:1
11%1:0
9%1:2
8%xG 分解
San Lorenzo
Vélez Sarsfield
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
28%
平局
32%
客胜
40%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
60%
客胜或平局
72%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Vélez Sarsfield is slightly favored by mathematical analysis with a win probability of 39%
- Vélez Sarsfield is in 2nd place in the league with 25 points, while San Lorenzo is in 9th place with 18 points
- Vélez Sarsfield averaged 5.4 shots on target in their last 5 games, compared to San Lorenzo's 3.2 shots
风险因素
- Mathematical analysis predicts a draw with a high probability of 32%
- San Lorenzo averages only 0.92 goals per game this season, indicating offensive struggles
- San Lorenzo is affected by several cruciate ligament tears, including D. Herrera, E. Cerutti, and G. Hernández
概述
San Lorenzo (9th place, 18 points) hosts Vélez Sarsfield (2nd place, 25 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The match will take place on April 20, 2026, 11:30 PM. Vélez Sarsfield aims to solidify its top league position, while San Lorenzo seeks to improve its standing in the table.
近期状态
San Lorenzo's current form (DLDWD) shows 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games. Their most recent result was a 0-0 draw away against Newell's Old Boys. Vélez Sarsfield (DWLLW) has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches. Their last result was a 1-0 home win against Central Cordoba SdE. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
统计数据
San Lorenzo averages 0.92 goals scored per game and concedes 0.92 goals per game this season. At home, they score 0.9 goals per game and concede 0.9 goals. They kept 7 clean sheets, while both teams scored in 5 matches. Vélez Sarsfield averages 1.15 goals per game and concedes only 0.69 goals. Away, they score 1.12 goals and concede 0.75 goals. They kept 6 clean sheets, and both teams scored in 6 matches.
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head encounters between the two teams, the record is even. San Lorenzo won 1 match, Vélez Sarsfield won 1 match, and 1 game ended in a draw. The goal difference is 1:1. The last encounter on August 7, 2025, saw San Lorenzo win 1-0 at home.
关键球员
For San Lorenzo, Alexis Cuello with 4 goals and 3 assists this season, Rodrigo Auzmendi with 2 goals, and Manuel Insaurralde with 1 goal are important players. Alexis Cuello shows a declining form trend in the last five games, while Auzmendi and Insaurralde are stable. For Vélez Sarsfield, Matías Pellegrini with 3 goals and 2 assists, Manuel Lanzini with 3 goals, and Florián Monzón also with 3 goals are notable. Pellegrini and Lanzini show a declining form trend, while Monzón is stable. Lucas Robertone shows a rising form trend with 1 goal in the last five games.
门将
Orlando Gill of San Lorenzo played in 12 matches and kept 7 clean sheets. For Vélez Sarsfield, Álvaro Montero was in goal for 13 matches and recorded 6 clean sheets.
影响因素
San Lorenzo scores an average of 0.9 goals at home and concedes 0.9 goals. Vélez Sarsfield scores an average of 1.12 goals away and concedes 0.75 goals. Venue trend and weather data are not available.