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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Argentinos Juniors - Atlético Tucumán

04/19/2026, 12:45 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Argentinos Juniors
1.8
Total xG
2.7
Atlético Tucumán
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
AJAT

Argentinos Juniors

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.62倍)
+1.21
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.56
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.17
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.12
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.12
Hernán López Muñoz未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Emiliano Viveros未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅74%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.8球 vs 总体1.4球)

Atlético Tucumán

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.77
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.13
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.11

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.46
-0.46
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

58%

平局

26%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

42%

非平局

74%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 58% probability
  • Argentinos Juniors shows a significantly better form curve (WWWWL) and a positive offensive development with 1.8 recent goals compared to 1.4 season goals
  • Atlético Tucumán is vulnerable away from home (averaging 2.17 goals conceded) and shows a negative offensive trend with 1.0 recent goals compared to 1.2 season goals
风险因素
  • Atlético Tucumán averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 matches
  • Atlético Tucumán concedes an average of 2.17 goals per away game
概述

Argentinos Juniors (2nd place) host Atlético Tucumán (3rd place) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match will take place on April 19, 2026, at 1:45 AM

近期状态

Argentinos Juniors shows strong form with four wins and one loss (WWWWL) in their last five matches

The last game ended in a 1-3 away loss against Independiente Rivadavia

This was preceded by home wins against Banfield (3-2) and Lanús (2-1), as well as away wins against Aldosivi (2-0) and a home win against Platense (1-0)

Atlético Tucumán has a form of one win, two draws, and two losses (DLWLD) in their last five matches

The last game was a 0-0 home draw against Tigre

This was preceded by an away loss against Rosario Central (1-2) and a home win against Gimnasia La Plata (1-0)

This was followed by a 1-2 away loss against Barracas Central and a 1-1 home draw against Aldosivi

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Argentinos Juniors scores an average of 1.08 goals per game and concedes 0.77 goals

In home games, the average is 1.12 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded

The team kept 7 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 6 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 matches

Atlético Tucumán scores an average of 1.00 goals per game and concedes 1.38 goals

In away games, the average is 1.00 goals scored and 2.17 goals conceded

Atlético Tucumán kept 4 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 8 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 matches

历史交锋

There has only been one head-to-head match between Argentinos Juniors and Atlético Tucumán

This match ended in a 0-0 draw on September 30, 2024

Both teams scored zero goals in this single encounter

关键球员

For Argentinos Juniors, Nicolás Oroz is in rising form with 2 goals and 2 assists and an average rating of 7.1

Alan Lescano contributed 2 goals with an average rating of 6.96 (form trend stable)

Iván Morales has scored 1 goal and 1 assist, with an average rating of 6.63 (form trend stable)

Not nominated, but impacting goal threat are Hernán López Muñoz (2G/2A) and Emiliano Viveros (1G/1A)

For Atlético Tucumán, Leandro Díaz is the top scorer with 5 goals and 1 assist, average rating 7.11 (form trend declining)

Franco Nicola scored 1 goal and 1 assist, average rating 6.91 (form trend rising)

Renzo Tesuri has 1 goal and 1 assist with an average rating of 6.57 (form trend stable)

门将

Argentinos Juniors' goalkeeper, Brayan Josué Cortés Fernández, has achieved 7 clean sheets in 13 appearances with an average rating of 6.85

Luis Ingolotti, Atlético Tucumán's goalkeeper, recorded 4 clean sheets in 13 appearances with an average rating of 6.62

影响因素

Argentinos Juniors shows stronger performance at home with an average of 1.12 goals scored and only 0.50 goals conceded

Atlético Tucumán struggles away from home, with an average of 1.00 goals scored and 2.17 goals conceded

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