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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Rosario Central - Sarmiento

04/19/2026, 11:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Rosario Central
1.9
Total xG
2.6
Sarmiento
0.7
最可能的比分

2:0

13%

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
RCSAR

Rosario Central

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.42倍)
+1.46
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.81
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.11
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第11位, 相差6位)
+0.06
主场表现强势 (场均1.7球 vs 总体1.4球)
全员可用

Sarmiento

防守不足 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.30
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.69倍)
-0.22
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.15
状态上升 (1.2 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
+0.10
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第5位, 相差6位)
-0.05
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
+0.02
客场表现不佳 (场均0.5球 vs 总体0.9球)
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.46
-0.46
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

63%

平局

24%

客胜

13%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

87%

客胜或平局

37%

非平局

76%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 63%
  • Rosario Central has won all 3 head-to-head matches against Sarmiento
  • Rosario Central is stronger offensively at home (Avg. 1.17 goals) and more stable defensively (Avg. 0.83 goals conceded) than Sarmiento away (Avg. 0.75 goals, Avg. 2.0 goals conceded)
风险因素
  • Sarmiento is currently scoring more frequently (Avg. 1.3 goals) than their season average (Avg. 0.9 goals)
  • Sarmiento averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 matches
  • Rosario Central conceded 3 goals in their last game, which could affect defensive stability
概述

Rosario Central (5th place, 21 points) hosts Sarmiento (11th place, 16 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match is scheduled for April 20, 2026, 12:30 AM

Rosario Central enters the game as a favorite, aiming to consolidate its position in the upper half of the table

近期状态

Rosario Central's current form across all competitions is DWLWL, showing 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

In their last outing, Rosario Central lost 1-3 away to Huracán

Sarmiento's form is DLWWL, also with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Sarmiento recently lost 1-2 at home against Gimnasia La Plata

统计数据

Rosario Central averages 1.15 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per game this season

At home, they average 1.17 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded

Sarmiento averages 0.85 goals scored and 1.08 goals conceded per game

Away from home, Sarmiento is weaker with 0.75 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded

Rosario Central has 4 clean sheets, and both teams scored in 7 matches

Sarmiento recorded 4 clean sheets, with both teams scoring in 5 matches

Over 2.5 goals were seen in 6 matches for Rosario Central and 5 for Sarmiento

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches between Rosario Central and Sarmiento, Rosario Central has won all 3 encounters

Sarmiento has not achieved any victories against Rosario Central to date

Rosario Central scored 6 goals in these matches, while Sarmiento managed 2 goals

The last meeting on October 24, 2025, ended in a 1-0 victory for Rosario Central, despite Sarmiento being the home team

关键球员

For Rosario Central, Jáminton Campaz is an important attacker with 1 goal and 4 assists in 9 season appearances, holding an average rating of 7.42

Alejo Veliz scored 3 goals and 1 assist in 12 appearances, his form is stable with 2 goals in the last 5 games

Franco Ibarra, a midfielder, has an average rating of 7.33 in 11 appearances

For Sarmiento, Junior Marabel is a crucial attacker with 6 goals and 2 assists in 13 season appearances, holding an average rating of 7.02

His form is stable with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Goalkeeper Javier Burrai maintains a high average rating of 7.32 in 13 appearances

Midfielder Cristian Zabala scored 1 goal in 13 appearances and has stable form

门将

Conan Ledesma, Rosario Central's goalkeeper, has recorded 4 clean sheets in 10 appearances this season, including 2 in home games

Javier Burrai, Sarmiento's goalkeeper, also achieved 4 clean sheets in 13 appearances, none of which were in away matches

影响因素

Rosario Central shows a solid home performance with an average of 1.17 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded per game

Sarmiento, on the other hand, is weaker away from home, with an average of 0.75 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded

Rosario Central has been possession-dominant in their last 5 games with an average of 62% possession and 4.4 shots on target

Sarmiento operates counter-attack oriented with an average of 42% possession and 2.8 shots on target

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