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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza - Lanús

04/21/2026, 12:45 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
1.3
Total xG
2.4
Lanús
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

11%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
GYEMLAN

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.31
防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.15
状态上升 (1.2 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
+0.13
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
+0.05
Santiago Rodríguez替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
14%进球产出缺失 (仅89%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.3球 vs 总体0.8球)

Lanús

防守不足 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.30
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
状态上升 (2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.15
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
-0.13
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.03
Ramiro Carrera替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Eduardo Salvio替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Carlos Izquierdoz 未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
Walter Bou未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
77%进球产出缺失 (仅33%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.5球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.45
-0.45
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

31%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

69%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Critical absences for Lanús: Only 34% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available
  • Improved Home Form: Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza is currently scoring more frequently (1.3) than their season average (0.8)
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical model indicates a 73% probability for a home win or draw
风险因素
  • The home team only scores an average of 0.75 home goals per game
  • Limited data: No previous head-to-head matches have been found
概述

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza host Lanús in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on April 20, 2026, 9:45 PM. Lanús currently sits in 5th place with 22 points from 13 games. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza enter as the home side.

近期状态

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's form across all competitions is DLLWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). The team recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches. Lanús shows stronger form with WWLDW, achieving 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 games.

统计数据

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza averages 0.77 goals scored and 1.23 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they average 0.75 goals scored and 0.88 goals conceded per home match. They have kept 3 clean sheets this season. Lanús has a season average of 1.38 goals scored and 1.08 goals conceded per game. Away from home, they average 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded per away match, with 5 clean sheets this season.

历史交锋

No previous head-to-head matches between Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza and Lanús have been found.

关键球员

For Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza, Facundo Lencioni (2 goals, 4 assists), Agustín Módica (3 goals), and Ezequiel Muñoz (1 goal) are key players. For Lanús, Sasha Marcich (1 goal, 1 assist), Yoshan Valois (1 goal), and Lucas Besozzi (2 assists) are notable.

门将

Cesar Rigamonti is the goalkeeper for Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza, with an average rating of 7.01 this season. The team has achieved 3 clean sheets. Nahuel Losada for Lanús has an average rating of 6.95, and his team has kept 5 clean sheets.

影响因素

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza scores an average of 0.75 goals per home game and concedes 0.88 goals per home game. Lanús scores an average of 1.29 goals per away game and concedes 1.29 goals per away game.

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