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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Aldosivi - Racing Club

04/19/2026, 04:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Aldosivi
0.9
Total xG
1.7
Racing Club
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

20%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:1

13%

2:0

7%
xG 分解
ALDRC

Aldosivi

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.58倍)
-0.62
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.38
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.28
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (0 vs 0.3 赛季平均)
-0.10
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第10位, 相差9位)
+0.04
Federico Gino替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
50%进球产出缺失 (仅93%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均0.7球 vs 总体0.3球)

Racing Club

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.32
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.11
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第1位, 相差9位)
-0.08
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.04
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.26倍)
+0.01
Santiago Solari未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Gabriel Rojas未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
Marco Di Césare未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
25%进球产出缺失 (仅59%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.46
-0.46
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

37%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

53%

Under 1.5

47%

Over 2.5

25%

Under 2.5

75%

Over 3.5

9%

Under 3.5

91%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

63%

双方进球

35%

65%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a draw as the most likely outcome with 37% probability
  • Aldosivi has failed to score in their last 5 matches and struggles with a very low season goal average of 0.23 goals per game
  • Racing Club has been dominant in head-to-head encounters, winning both previous matches without conceding a goal
风险因素
  • Racing Club will be without key players, with only 60% of their usual attacking threat available, including Santiago Solari, Gabriel Rojas, and Marco Di Césare
  • Aldosivi exhibits very low home goal production, averaging only 0.25 goals per game
  • Both teams averaged less than 3.5 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating a lack of clear scoring opportunities
概述

Aldosivi host Racing Club in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on April 19, 2026, 5:30 PM

Aldosivi are currently on 0 points in the league table, while Racing Club sit in 10th place with 18 points

Racing Club will be looking to improve their mid-table position

近期状态

Aldosivi is in poor form with a W/D/L record of DLLDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They have 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 5 games

Their last result was a 0-1 loss to Belgrano

Racing Club shows a form of DWWLL

In their last 5 games, Racing Club recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

They are coming off two consecutive losses, including a 0-2 against River Plate

统计数据

Aldosivi scores an average of only 0.23 goals per game and concedes 1.08 goals

In home matches, their average is 0.25 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded

Racing Club is stronger offensively with an average of 1.15 goals per game and concedes 1.00 goals

Away from home, Racing Club scores 1.12 goals and concedes 0.88 goals

Aldosivi kept 4 clean sheets, while Racing Club managed 5

Both teams scored in only 3 of Aldosivi's matches, compared to 6 for Racing Club

More than 2.5 goals were scored in only one of Aldosivi's games, but in 6 of Racing Club's games

历史交锋

In 2 direct encounters between Aldosivi and Racing Club, Aldosivi has not secured a win

Racing Club won both matches with a goal difference of 3-0

The last meeting in October 2025 ended in a 1-0 victory for Racing Club

Racing Club has been the more dominant team in recent matchups

关键球员

For Aldosivi, defender Nicolás Zalazar stands out with an average rating of 7.13 and one assist

Goalkeeper Axel Werner has an average rating of 6.90 from 13 appearances, with his form slightly declining recently

Attacker Nicolás Cordero has scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist, holding an average rating of 6.87

For Racing Club, defender Santiago Sosa is a key player with an average rating of 7.17 and 1 assist

Attacker Adrián Martínez is the top scorer with 4 goals and a rating of 6.65

Forward Duván Vergara shows rising form and has contributed 2 season goals

门将

Aldosivi's goalkeeper Axel Werner has made 13 appearances this season, keeping 4 clean sheets

Racing Club's goalkeeper Facundo Cambeses has also played 13 matches, recording 5 clean sheets

影响因素

Aldosivi shows a weak offense in home games, averaging only 0.25 goals scored

Their defense is more stable at home, conceding 0.75 goals per game

Racing Club is more effective offensively away from home, scoring 1.12 goals

Racing Club's away defense concedes an average of 0.88 goals per game

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