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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Independiente - Defensa y Justicia

04/18/2026, 10:30 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Independiente
1.4
Total xG
2.4
Defensa y Justicia
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:0

10%

1:0

10%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
INDDYJ

Independiente

小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
-0.23
防守不足 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.05
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.04

Defensa y Justicia

小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.26
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.06
Elías Pereyra替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Rubén Botta未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
15%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.45
-0.45
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

30%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

70%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Model forecast: The mathematical analysis favors a home win for Independiente with a 41% probability
  • Defensa y Justicia's offensive strength: The team currently scores more frequently, averaging 1.8 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.6 goals
  • Recent form trend: Independiente's form is stable, while Defensa y Justicia recently recorded two consecutive losses
概述

Independiente hosts Defensa y Justicia in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match takes place on April 18, 2026, 11:30 PM

According to the current table, Independiente is in 7th place and Defensa y Justicia in 3rd place, both with 0 points

近期状态

Independiente's form in their last five matches is DLLWD

This corresponds to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

Their last result was a draw

Defensa y Justicia's form in their last five matches is DWWLL

This means 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

The team has recorded two consecutive losses recently

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Independiente scores an average of 1.46 goals per game and concedes 1.23 goals

At home, they score 1.5 goals and concede 1 goal per home game

They kept 4 clean sheets

Defensa y Justicia scores an average of 1.23 goals per game and concedes 0.92 goals

Away, they score 1.29 goals and concede 0.86 goals per away game

They kept 5 clean sheets

Independiente scores consistently with approximately 1.5 goals per game

Defensa y Justicia is currently scoring more frequently with 1.8 goals than their season average of 1.6 goals

Independiente's recent form trend is stable, while Defensa y Justicia's is positive

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between Independiente and Defensa y Justicia

This game ended in a 0-0 draw on June 04, 2024

The goal difference in direct encounters is even

Neither team has secured a win so far

关键球员

For Independiente, Gabriel Ávalos is an important player with 8 goals and 4 assists

Matías Abaldo contributed 4 goals

Ignacio Malcorra is involved in midfield with 1 goal and 3 assists

For Defensa y Justicia, Aarón Molinas is a key player with 2 goals and 4 assists

Juan Gutiérrez scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists

Ayrton Portillo contributed 2 goals and 1 assist

At Defensa y Justicia, Elías Pereyra (2G/0A) and Rubén Botta (1G/1A) are not in the lineup

门将

Independiente's goalkeeper, Rodrigo Rey, kept 4 clean sheets

Cristopher Fiermarín, Defensa y Justicia's goalkeeper, achieved 5 clean sheets

影响因素

Independiente averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 goal conceded in home matches

Defensa y Justicia averaged 1.29 goals scored and 0.86 goals conceded in away matches

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