Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Deportivo Riestra - Independiente
04/24/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
0.9
1.8
0.9
0:0
19%1:1
15%1:0
14%0:1
13%2:0
7%xG 分解
Deportivo Riestra
Independiente
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
37%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
55%
Under 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
26%
Under 2.5
74%
Over 3.5
10%
Under 3.5
90%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
63%
双方进球
是
36%
否
64%
关键因素
- Independiente's stronger offense (Avg. 1.57 goals) meets Deportivo Riestra's weak defense (Avg. 0.77 goals conceded)
- The mathematical analysis shows a high probability of a draw (37%)
- Deportivo Riestra's goal production has further decreased recently (0.2 vs. 0.3 season average) according to Advanced Stats
风险因素
- Deportivo Riestra averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Independiente concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
- Deportivo Riestra scores only an average of 0.22 home goals per game
- Independiente is missing 22% of their usual starting XI's assists without Ignacio Malcorra
概述
Deportivo Riestra host Independiente in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on April 24, 2026, 10:00 PM. Independiente are in 6th place with 21 points. The mathematical analysis suggests a balanced match, with a draw probability of 37%.
近期状态
Deportivo Riestra show poor form with LDLLL from their last five matches, including three consecutive losses
They have not secured a win in this period, recording one draw and four losses
Independiente, on the other hand, has a form of LLWDW, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games
Independiente concluded their last match with a win
统计数据
Deportivo Riestra score only an average of 0.23 goals per game this season and concede 0.77 goals
In home games, these figures are even lower at 0.22 goals scored and 0.44 goals conceded per match
They kept 4 clean sheets this season, 3 of them at home
Deportivo Riestra failed to score in 10 out of 13 games
Independiente show a stronger offense with an average of 1.57 goals per game and 1.21 goals conceded
Away, the average is 1.75 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded
Independiente kept 4 clean sheets this season and scored in all their games
Both teams scored in 10 matches, while over 2.5 goals were scored in 5 games
历史交锋
In the three head-to-head encounters, Deportivo Riestra have not managed a win, while Independiente secured two victories and one draw
The goal difference of 4:1 clearly favors Independiente
The last meeting on November 10, 2025, ended in a 0:1 away win for Independiente
Independiente has been the more dominant side in recent direct encounters
关键球员
For Deportivo Riestra, Antony Alonso is the key goalscorer with 2 season goals, having scored 1 goal in the last 5 games and showing stable form
Cristian Paz, a defender, has a season average rating of 6.78, but his form is declining
Goalkeeper Ignacio Arce has a season average rating of 7.19 but also showed declining form recently
For Independiente, Gabriel Ávalos stands out with 9 season goals and 5 assists, scoring 2 goals and providing 2 assists in the last 5 games, with stable form
Matías Abaldo contributed with 4 season goals and scored 2 goals in the last 5 games
Defender Kevin Lomónaco has provided 1 assist this season and shows stable form
门将
Deportivo Riestra's goalkeeper Ignacio Arce played 13 games with a season average rating of 7.19 and kept 4 clean sheets
For Independiente, Rodrigo Rey was in goal for 14 games, with a season average rating of 6.71 and 4 clean sheets
影响因素
Deportivo Riestra shows low home goal threat with an average of 0.22 home goals per game
The home defense is stable, conceding 0.44 goals per home game