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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

River Plate - Aldosivi

04/26/2026, 12:30 AM

3 : 1
预期进球
River Plate
1.8
Total xG
2.5
Aldosivi
0.7
最可能的比分

1:0

14%

2:0

14%

1:1

12%

0:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
RPALD

River Plate

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.62倍)
+1.28
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.66
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.10
Sebastián Driussi未进大名单 (4球, 0助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.8球 vs 总体1.5球)

Aldosivi

防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.63
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.6倍)
-0.36
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.16
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.06
状态下滑 (0.2 vs 0.4 赛季平均)
-0.04
Federico Gino替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
37%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.47
-0.47
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

63%

平局

25%

客胜

12%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

88%

客胜或平局

37%

非平局

75%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 63% probability
  • River Plate shows strong form with 4 wins in their last 5 games, while Aldosivi recorded 3 losses and 2 draws
  • River Plate has been possession-dominant in their last 5 games, averaging 64% possession and 5.4 shots on target
风险因素
  • Aldosivi shows an extremely weak offense, averaging only 0.29 goals per game this season
  • The data availability is limited due to missing Head-to-Head information
概述

River Plate (3rd place, 26 points) host Aldosivi in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match will take place on April 25, 2026, 9:30 PM

River Plate, with 8 wins from 14 games, aims to close the gap on the top of the table

Aldosivi has scored only 4 goals and conceded 15 goals in 14 games, indicating a difficult season

近期状态

River Plate's form across all competitions is WWWWL

This corresponds to 4 wins and 1 loss in their last five matches

Their last result was a loss

Aldosivi's form across all competitions is LLDLD

This shows 2 draws and 3 losses in their last five matches

Their last result was a draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

River Plate averages 1.36 goals scored per game and concedes 0.71 goals

At home, they average 1.38 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded

The team kept 7 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 4 games, and 4 games ended with over 2.5 goals

Aldosivi scores only 0.29 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.07 goals

Away from home, Aldosivi concedes an average of 1.57 goals, while scoring 0.29

Aldosivi kept 4 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 4 games, but only 1 game ended with over 2.5 goals

关键球员

For River Plate, Gonzalo Montiel (4 goals, 1 assist, avg 7.19), Tomás Galván (2 goals, 1 assist, avg 7.01), and Facundo Colidio (2 goals, 1 assist, avg 6.55) stand out

For Aldosivi, Nicolás Cordero (1 goal, 1 assist, avg 6.91), Nicolás Zalazar (0 goals, 1 assist, avg 7.13), and Lucas Rodríguez (0 goals, 1 assist, avg 6.81) are the key players

门将

Santiago Beltrán is the goalkeeper for River Plate and has 3 home clean sheets

Axel Werner is the goalkeeper for Aldosivi and has no away clean sheets

影响因素

River Plate demonstrates a strong home offense with 11 goals scored and a solid defense with 6 goals conceded

Aldosivi's away record is poor, with 2 goals scored and 11 goals conceded

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