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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Racing Club - Barracas Central

04/25/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Racing Club
1.4
Total xG
2.1
Barracas Central
0.7
最可能的比分

1:0

16%

0:0

14%

1:1

13%

2:0

13%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
RCBC

Racing Club

小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.37
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.10
全员可用

Barracas Central

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.58倍)
-0.38
防守不足 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.22
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.17
状态上升 (1.7 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.05
Facundo Bruera替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.5球 vs 总体1.2球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.46
-0.46
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

30%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

63%

Under 1.5

37%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

70%

双方进球

38%

62%

关键因素
  • Model Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a 54% probability of a home win for Racing Club
  • Head-to-Head Dominance: Racing Club dominated recent direct encounters with 2 wins versus 1 loss
  • Attacking Form Trend: Barracas Central is currently scoring more frequently (1.7) than their season average (1.2) with a positive trend
风险因素
  • Low Shots on Target Efficiency: Racing Club averaged 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 matches
  • Low Shots on Target Efficiency: Barracas Central averaged 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 matches
  • Goal Production: Racing Club's goal production is currently stalling (1.0), falling below their season average (1.3)
概述

Racing Club (10th place, 19 points) host Barracas Central (5th place, 0 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match is scheduled for April 25, 2026, 2:30 AM

The mathematical analysis indicates a 54% probability of a home win for Racing Club

近期状态

Racing Club shows a form of WWLLD (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) in their last 5 matches

Their last game ended in a 1-1 away draw against Aldosivi

Prior to that, they suffered a 0-2 home loss against River Plate

Barracas Central has a form of WDLWD (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) in their last 5 matches

Their last game ended in a 0-0 home draw against Belgrano

Before that, they secured a 2-1 away win against Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Racing Club averages 1.14 goals scored per game and concedes 1.0 goal per game this season

In home matches, the average is 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded

They kept 5 clean sheets and both teams scored in 7 matches

Barracas Central averages 0.93 goals scored per game and concedes 0.86 goals per game

In away matches, the average is 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 goals conceded

They kept 4 clean sheets and both teams scored in 7 matches

历史交锋

In the 3 previous head-to-head matches, Racing Club dominated with 2 wins compared to 1 win for Barracas Central

There have been no draws between the teams

Racing Club scored a total of 5 goals, while Barracas Central scored 2 goals

The last encounter on July 12, 2025, ended with a 0-1 away win for Barracas Central

关键球员

For Racing Club, Adrián Martínez (4 goals, 0 assists), Tomás Conechny (3 goals, 2 assists), and Adrián Fernández (1 goal, 1 assist) are key players

Martínez scored 2 goals in his last 5 games with an average rating of 6.70

Conechny provided 1 assist in his last 5 games with an average rating of 6.64

Fernández recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games with an average rating of 7.06

For Barracas Central, Rodrigo Insúa (3 goals, 1 assist), Iván Tapia (1 goal, 1 assist), and Norberto Briasco (1 goal, 0 assists) are notable

Insúa scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in his last 5 games with an average rating of 6.76

Tapia provided 1 assist in his last 5 games with an average rating of 6.93

Briasco scored 1 goal in his last 5 games with an average rating of 7.03, showing a positive form trend

门将

Facundo Cambeses is Racing Club's goalkeeper and has achieved 5 clean sheets this season

Juan Espínola is Barracas Central's goalkeeper and has managed 4 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Racing Club averages 1.2 goals scored per home game and concedes 1.2 goals per home game

Barracas Central averages 1.0 goal scored per away game and concedes 1.2 goals per away game

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