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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Sarmiento - Tigre

04/25/2026, 10:15 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Sarmiento
1.0
Total xG
2.1
Tigre
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

12%

1:0

11%

0:2

7%
xG 分解
SARTIG

Sarmiento

小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.14
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.08
状态上升 (1.2 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
+0.08
Julián Contrera替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体0.9球)

Tigre

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.45倍)
+0.35
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.31
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.28
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.21
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.15
Santiago López替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.47
-0.47
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

34%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

63%

Under 1.5

37%

Over 2.5

34%

Under 2.5

66%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

66%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis slightly favors Tigre with a 35% probability, compared to 31% for Sarmiento
  • Sarmiento shows a positive offensive form trend, scoring more frequently recently (1.2) than their season average (0.9)
  • Tigre's goal production has noticeably decreased recently (0.5) compared to their season average (1.4)
风险因素
  • Sarmiento averaged only 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating few clear scoring opportunities
  • The model predicts a close match, with a high 34% probability of a draw
概述

Sarmiento (11th place, 16 points) host Tigre (10th place, 19 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match will take place on April 25, 2026, 12:15 AM

Sarmiento aims to move away from the lower mid-table, while Tigre seeks to establish itself in the upper half of the standings

近期状态

The form of both teams shows different trends

Sarmiento recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses in their last five Liga Profesional de Fútbol matches (Form: LWWLL)

Their last two matches ended in a loss

Tigre, on the other hand, achieved 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last five Liga Profesional de Fútbol matches (Form: DLLDD)

Tigre recently drew twice in a row

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Sarmiento averages 0.86 goals scored per game and concedes 1.14 goals

At home, the average is 0.89 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded per home game

Tigre has a season average of 1.21 goals scored and 0.93 goals conceded

Away from home, Tigre averages 1.2 goals scored and concedes 1 goal per away game

Sarmiento had 'Both teams scored' in 6 games, Tigre in 8 games

Sarmiento recorded 4 clean sheets, Tigre also 4 clean sheets

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between Sarmiento and Tigre to date

Sarmiento won this single encounter

The last match on August 18, 2024, ended in a 1:0 home win for Sarmiento

关键球员

Sarmiento: Junior Marabel (6 season goals, 3 assists) showed good form in the last 5 games with 2 goals and 2 assists

Cristian Zabala (1 season goal, 0 assists) scored 1 goal in his last 5 appearances

Jonatan Gómez (1 season goal, 1 assist) contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 4 games

Not nominated for Sarmiento: Julián Contrera (0 Goals/2 Assists)

Tigre: Ignacio Russo (4 season goals, 3 assists) provided 1 assist in the last 5 games

Gonzalo Martínez (2 season goals, 0 assists) scored 1 goal in his last 5 games

Alan Barrionuevo (2 season goals, 2 assists)

Not nominated for Tigre: Santiago López (0 Goals/2 Assists)

门将

Sarmiento's goalkeeper Javier Burrai played 14 games and kept 4 clean sheets

Felipe Zenobio, Tigre's goalkeeper, featured in 13 games and kept 2 clean sheets

影响因素

Sarmiento has averaged 0.89 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded at home

Tigre averaged 1.2 goals scored and conceded 1 goal per away game

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