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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Rosario Central

04/24/2026, 10:15 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
1.0
Total xG
2.1
Rosario Central
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

12%

1:0

10%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
EDRCRC

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.26
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.10
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.04
状态下滑 (0.2 vs 0.3 赛季平均)
-0.02
33%进球产出缺失 (仅62%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均0.9球 vs 总体0.3球)

Rosario Central

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.29倍)
+0.40
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.01
Alejo Veliz替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
Enzo Giménez未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
10%进球产出缺失 (仅87%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.46
-0.46
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

33%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

67%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Form difference: Rosario Central has better recent form with 3 wins and 2 losses, while Estudiantes de Río Cuarto recorded 4 losses in the last 5 games
  • Offensive strength: Rosario Central averages 1.14 goals per away game, while Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scores only 0.29 goals per game overall
  • Pipeline prediction: Rosario Central is slightly favored with a 36% win probability
风险因素
  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto only has 63% of its usual starting XI strength in terms of goal threat
  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto averaged only 2.2 shots on target in the last 5 games (few attempts)
  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scored an average of only 0.3 goals per home game
概述

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto hosts Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on April 24, 2026, 12:15 AM. Rosario Central is in 4th place with 24 points. The mathematical analysis predicts a narrow victory for Rosario Central with a 36% probability

近期状态

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto shows poor form with LLDLL from their last five matches

The team recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses

The last match ended in a loss

Rosario Central's form is WLWLW in their last five matches

This includes 3 wins and 2 losses

The last match was a win

统计数据

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto averages 0.29 goals scored per game and concedes 1.43 goals

At home, the team averages 0.3 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded

They kept 3 clean sheets

Rosario Central averages 1.21 goals scored per game and concedes 1.0 goal

Away from home, the team averages 1.14 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded

Rosario Central kept 4 clean sheets

The pipeline analysis predicts 1.01 expected goals for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto and 1.13 expected goals for Rosario Central

The probability of both teams scoring is 45%

历史交锋

No historical head-to-head matches between these two teams are available in the dataset

关键球员

For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, Facundo Cobos stands out with 1 season goal

Gabriel Alanís contributed 1 season goal

Gonzalo Maffini recorded 1 season assist

For Rosario Central, Jáminton Campaz is a key player with 1 season goal and 4 assists, including 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games

Enzo Copetti scored 3 season goals, with 2 in the last 5 matches

Vicente Tomás Pizarro Durcudoy registered 1 season goal and 1 assist, with 1 goal in the last 5 games

Alejo Veliz (4G/1A) and Enzo Giménez (1G/1A) are not nominated

门将

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's goalkeeper, Agustín Lastra, has an average season rating of 6.7

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has achieved 3 clean sheets

Rosario Central's goalkeeper, Conan Ledesma, has an average season rating of 6.92

Rosario Central has achieved 4 clean sheets

影响因素

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto shows an average home offense of 0.3 goals and a defense of 0.6 goals conceded

Rosario Central scores an average of 1.14 goals away and concedes 1.14 goals

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