Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Vélez Sarsfield - Unión Santa Fe
04/27/2026, 09:45 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.2
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
11%0:1
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Vélez Sarsfield
Unión Santa Fe
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
38%
平局
32%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
62%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Vélez Sarsfield displays a strong home defense, conceding an average of 0.5 goals per game
- Unión Santa Fe's recent goal production has stagnated (1.2 goals per game) compared to their season average (1.8 goals)
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 38% for Vélez Sarsfield
风险因素
- Unión Santa Fe displays an offensively strong playing style with an average of 5.6 shots on target in the last 5 games
- The only direct encounter was won by Unión Santa Fe with a 1-0 score against Vélez Sarsfield
概述
Vélez Sarsfield (3rd place, 26 points) host Unión Santa Fe (8th place, 19 points) in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on April 27, 2026, 6:45 PM. Vélez Sarsfield aims to solidify its position in the upper half of the table, while Unión Santa Fe seeks to close the gap to the top teams.
近期状态
Vélez Sarsfield's form in the last five games is WLLWD, which includes 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last match ended in a draw (0-0 away against San Lorenzo). Unión Santa Fe's recent form is DLWLL, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five outings. Unión Santa Fe's last game was a loss (2-3 at home against Newell's Old Boys).
统计数据
Vélez Sarsfield has scored an average of 1.07 goals per game this season and conceded 0.64 goals per game. At home, the team averages 1.00 goals scored and concedes only 0.50 goals per home match. Overall, Vélez Sarsfield has kept 7 clean sheets. Unión Santa Fe has scored an average of 1.50 goals per game throughout the season and conceded 1.21 goals. Away from home, Unión Santa Fe averages 1.57 goals scored but concedes 1.86 goals per away game, with no away clean sheets. Both teams scored in 6 of Vélez Sarsfield's matches, while this occurred in 7 of Unión Santa Fe's matches. Vélez Sarsfield's goal production is consistent (~1.2 goals per game), while Unión Santa Fe's goal production has stalled (1.2) compared to their season average of 1.8.
历史交锋
In recent history, there has been one direct encounter between these two teams. Unión Santa Fe won this last match on December 7, 2024, with a score of 1-0 against Vélez Sarsfield, when Unión Santa Fe was the home team.
关键球员
For Vélez Sarsfield, Lucas Robertone, Matías Pellegrini, and Florián Monzón are key players. Lucas Robertone, a midfielder, has scored 1 goal and shows a rising form trend. Matías Pellegrini, an attacker, has 3 goals and 2 assists this season. Florián Monzón, also in attack, has scored 3 goals. For Unión Santa Fe, Cristian Tarragona, Julián Palacios, and Rafael Profini are among the key players. Striker Cristian Tarragona has scored 6 goals this season. Midfielder Julián Palacios recorded 2 goals and 5 assists. Rafael Profini, also a midfielder, scored 1 goal and provided 5 assists. Marcelo Estigarribia (4 goals/1 assist) is not nominated for Unión Santa Fe.
门将
Álvaro Montero, Vélez Sarsfield's goalkeeper, has kept 7 clean sheets this season. On the opposing side, Matías Mansilla, Unión Santa Fe's goalkeeper, has recorded 5 clean sheets.
影响因素
Vélez Sarsfield benefits from a home advantage, reflected in an average of 1.0 home goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded per game.