Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Platense - San Lorenzo
04/25/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.0
1.7
0.7
0:0
20%1:0
17%1:1
14%0:1
11%2:0
10%xG 分解
Platense
San Lorenzo
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
36%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
53%
Under 1.5
47%
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%
Over 3.5
10%
Under 3.5
90%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
64%
双方进球
是
34%
否
66%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 41%
- Platense's poor form with no wins in the last five games (LLDDL)
- San Lorenzo's currently higher scoring frequency (1.3) compared to Platense's consistent performance (1.1)
风险因素
- A. Lotti is missing for Platense, leaving only 60% of the season's goal threat available
- Platense scores an average of only 0.67 home goals per game
- The mathematical analysis indicates a low probability for over 2.5 goals (25%) and both teams to score (34%)
概述
Platense (11th place, 16 points) host San Lorenzo (8th place, 19 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The match is on April 25, 2026, 2:30 AM. Platense is fighting to move away from the relegation zone, while San Lorenzo aims to consolidate their position in the upper half of the table.
近期状态
Platense shows poor form with LLDDL in their last five matches, corresponding to 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Their last game resulted in a loss. San Lorenzo, however, has been more stable in their last five games with LDWDD, recording 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, including two consecutive draws. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Platense scores an average of 0.71 goals per game this season and concedes 0.86 goals. At home, the average is 0.67 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded. San Lorenzo has a goal average of 0.86 and a conceded goal average of 0.86. Away from home, San Lorenzo scores an average of 0.75 goals and concedes 0.75 goals. Platense has kept 6 clean sheets, while San Lorenzo has 8. Platense has seen both teams score in 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 3 matches, compared to San Lorenzo's 5 and 2 respectively. According to advanced statistics, Platense scores consistently (~1.1 goals per game). San Lorenzo is currently scoring more frequently (1.3) than their season average (1.2).
历史交锋
The four head-to-head matches between Platense and San Lorenzo have resulted in an even record. Both teams have won two games each. The goal difference is also balanced at 5:5. The last encounter on August 16, 2025, saw Platense win 2:1.
关键球员
For Platense, Tomás Nasif with 2 season goals and 1 assist, and Franco Zapiola with 2 season goals are key players. Nicolás Retamar contributed with 1 goal and 2 assists to the offense. For San Lorenzo, Alexis Cuello with 4 goals and 3 assists, and Rodrigo Auzmendi with 2 goals are crucial. Manuel Insaurralde added 1 season goal.
门将
Platense's goal is defended by Matías Borgogno, who recorded 6 clean sheets in 14 appearances. For San Lorenzo, Orlando Gill is in goal, with 8 clean sheets in 13 matches.
影响因素
Platense scores an average of 0.67 goals and concedes 0.83 goals at home. San Lorenzo scores 0.75 goals and concedes 0.75 goals away. The data regarding specific venue history and weather conditions is limited.