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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia

05/03/2026, 04:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Aldosivi
0.7
Total xG
1.8
Independiente Rivadavia
1.1
最可能的比分

0:0

19%

0:1

16%

1:1

14%

1:0

10%

0:2

10%
xG 分解
ALDIR

Aldosivi

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.59倍)
-0.61
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.26
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第1位, 相差13位)
-0.11
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.01
Nicolás Cordero未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均0.6球 vs 总体0.4球)

Independiente Rivadavia

状态上升 (3 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.30
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.12
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.11
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第14位, 相差13位)
+0.07
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.05
Sebastián Villa未进大名单 (0球, 6助攻)
Fabrizio Sartori未进大名单 (6球, 0助攻)
Rodrigo Atencio未进大名单 (0球, 4助攻)
Matías Fernández未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Luciano Gómez替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
José Florentín替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Sheyko Studer替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
93%进球产出缺失 (仅7%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.45
-0.45
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

22%

平局

36%

客胜

42%

进球数

Over 1.5

54%

Under 1.5

46%

Over 2.5

26%

Under 2.5

74%

Over 3.5

10%

Under 3.5

90%

双重机会

主胜或平局

58%

客胜或平局

78%

非平局

64%

双方进球

35%

65%

关键因素
  • Critical squad situation for Independiente Rivadavia: Only 7% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available, with key players like Sebastián Villa and Fabrizio Sartori missing
  • Critical squad situation for Aldosivi: Only 0% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available, as Nicolás Cordero is not fielded
  • Clear performance disparity: League leaders Independiente Rivadavia (1st place, 33 points) face bottom-ranked Aldosivi (14th place, 7 points) with poor form
风险因素
  • Aldosivi scores only an average of 0.33 goals per home game
概述

Aldosivi (14th place, 7 points) host Independiente Rivadavia (1st place, 33 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on May 3, 2026, 5:30 PM. This match is a clear clash between a team at the bottom of the table and the current league leader. Independiente Rivadavia enters the match as the favorite and aims to maintain its top position.

近期状态

Aldosivi is going through a difficult period, with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses (LDLDL) from their last five matches across all competitions. Their last result was a loss. Independiente Rivadavia, on the other hand, shows strong form with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses (WWWDW) from their last five matches, with their last result being a win. The team is currently scoring more frequently (3.0 goals) than their season average (2.0 goals). (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Aldosivi averages 0.33 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 1.2 goals. The team kept 4 clean sheets, both teams scored in 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 games. At home, Aldosivi averages 0.33 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded. Independiente Rivadavia averages 1.87 goals scored per game and concedes 0.93 goals. The team kept 4 clean sheets, both teams scored in 10 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 games. Away from home, Independiente Rivadavia averages 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded.

历史交锋

In the 2 previous head-to-head matches, there has been one win for Aldosivi and one win for Independiente Rivadavia, with no draws. Aldosivi scored a total of 3 goals, while Independiente Rivadavia scored 2 goals. The last encounter was won by Aldosivi with a 3:1 score on November 1, 2025. The overall record is currently even.

关键球员

For Aldosivi, defender Rodrigo González is relevant, holding an average rating of 6.67 this season and playing 194 minutes in the last 5 games. For Independiente Rivadavia, defender Leonard Costa is important, having contributed 1 goal and 1 assist this season. His form trend is positive with an increase of 0.53 points.

门将

Aldosivi features Ignacio Chicco as goalkeeper, who achieved 4 clean sheets this season. Independiente Rivadavia relies on Emmanuel Gómez Riga, who recorded 3 clean sheets in away games. These values provide insight into the defensive performances of the goalkeepers.

影响因素

Aldosivi scored 2 goals and conceded 4 goals in 6 home games, averaging 0.33 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded per home game. Independiente Rivadavia scored 9 goals and conceded 4 goals in 5 away games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per away game.

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