Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Instituto
05/05/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.0
2.1
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
14%0:1
12%1:0
10%0:2
8%xG 分解
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Instituto
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
33%
客胜
36%
进球数
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
64%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- Slight favoritism for Instituto: The mathematical analysis sees an away win probability of 36%
- Clear form differences: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto suffered 4 losses in the last 5 games, Instituto achieved 2 wins in the same period
- Home team's offensive weakness: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scores more recently (0.5 goals) than their season average (0.4 goals), but remains weak overall
风险因素
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto averaged only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Instituto concedes an average of 2.25 goals per away game
概述
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (15th place, 5 points) host Instituto (10th place, 18 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol
The match takes place on May 5, 2026, 2:30 AM
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is battling relegation, while Instituto is in a mid-table position
The mathematical analysis predicts a close game, with Instituto slightly favored with a 36% win probability
A draw is calculated with a 33% probability, and a home win with 30%
近期状态
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is in a difficult phase with form LDLLL in their last five matches across all competitions
This corresponds to 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses
The last result was a loss
Instituto shows a mixed form curve with LWWLD from their last five matches
This means 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
The last match ended in a draw
统计数据
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scores only 0.33 goals per game on average this season and concedes 1.47 goals
At home, these values slightly improve to 0.33 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded per home game
They kept 3 clean sheets in 15 matches
Instituto scores an average of 1 goal per game and concedes 1.13 goals
Away from home, the average is 1 goal scored and a high 2.25 goals conceded per away game
Instituto also kept 3 clean sheets in 15 matches
Overall, both teams scored in 3 of Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's 15 matches
For Instituto, both teams scored in 7 of 15 matches
历史交锋
No head-to-head matches were found in the provided data
关键球员
For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, Mauro Valiente stands out with 1 goal in the last 2 games and a rising form trend
Facundo Cobos scored once in the last 4 games and shows stable form
Gabriel Alanís, with 4 appearances in the last 5 games, has stable form with an average rating of 6.89
For Instituto, Gastón Lodico is an important midfielder with stable form and a high season average rating of 7.24
Jonatan Galván, a defender, shows a rising form trend with 1 assist in the last 4 games
Giuliano Cerato scored 2 goals and 1 assist in 15 games this season and has stable form
门将
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's goalkeeper, Agustín Lastra, played 10 games this season
The team achieved a total of 3 clean sheets
Manuel Roffo is Instituto's goalkeeper and played in 15 matches
Instituto also achieved 3 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scored an average of 0.33 goals at home and conceded 0.67 goals
Instituto scored an average of 1 goal away and conceded 2.25 goals
The home team is possession-dominant in their last 5 games, with an average of 56% possession and 2.6 shots on target
The guests are counter-oriented with an average of 45% possession and 4.0 shots on target