Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Vélez Sarsfield - Newell's Old Boys
05/04/2026, 10:15 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.2
0.8
1:0
14%1:1
14%0:0
12%2:0
12%2:1
9%xG 分解
Vélez Sarsfield
Newell's Old Boys
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
53%
平局
30%
客胜
18%
进球数
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
82%
客胜或平局
47%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
42%
否
58%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 53% probability
- Vélez Sarsfield's solid season defense (0.64 goals conceded per game) meets Newell's Old Boys' weak defense (1.73 goals conceded per game)
- Vélez Sarsfield shows greater strength in home games with an average of 1 goal scored and 0.5 goals conceded per game
风险因素
- Vélez Sarsfield's recent form (LLWDD) is mixed with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
- Newell's Old Boys are missing O. Salomón (Muscular problems), A. Montero (Cruciate Ligament Tear), and G. Arias Arroyo (Fracture Of Fibula Shaft)
- Newell's Old Boys show a strong recent form trend with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 games despite weak season statistics
概述
Vélez Sarsfield (3rd place, 27 points) host Newell's Old Boys (14th place, 14 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol
The match takes place on May 4, 2026, 12:15 AM
Vélez Sarsfield aims to solidify its position in the upper half of the table
近期状态
Vélez Sarsfield's last 5 games show a form of LLWDD, which translates to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
The last result was a 2-2 draw against Unión Santa Fe
Newell's Old Boys' form is WWDWD, with 3 wins and 2 draws
The last result was a 1-1 draw against Instituto
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Vélez Sarsfield averaged 1.07 goals scored and 0.64 goals conceded per game this season
The team kept 7 clean sheets and both teams scored in 6 matches
Newell's Old Boys averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.73 goals conceded per game this season
Newell's Old Boys kept 2 clean sheets and both teams scored in 8 matches
At home, Vélez Sarsfield scored an average of 1 goal and conceded 0.5 goals
Away from home, Newell's Old Boys scored an average of 0.89 goals and conceded 1.78 goals
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match between Vélez Sarsfield and Newell's Old Boys
Vélez Sarsfield won this single match, scoring 1 goal while Newell's Old Boys scored none
The last encounter was on May 21, 2024, ending 1-0 in favor of Vélez Sarsfield
关键球员
For Vélez Sarsfield: Florián Monzón (Attacker) scored 3 goals and 0 assists this season
In the last 5 games, he scored 2 goals
Joaquín García (Defender) has 2 goals and 0 assists this season
In the last 5 games, he scored 1 goal
Manuel Lanzini (Midfielder) scored 3 goals and 0 assists this season
For Newell's Old Boys: Jeronimo Russo (Attacker) scored 1 goal and 2 assists this season
In the last 5 games, he scored 1 goal and 2 assists with rising form
Matías Cóccaro (Attacker) has 1 goal and 2 assists this season
Walter Mazzantti (Attacker) has 1 goal and 0 assists this season
In the last 5 games, he scored 1 goal
门将
Vélez Sarsfield's goalkeeper, Álvaro Montero, recorded 7 clean sheets this season
Newell's Old Boys' goalkeeper, Josué Reinatti, recorded 2 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Vélez Sarsfield shows home strength with an average of 1 goal scored and 0.5 goals conceded per home game
Newell's Old Boys concede an average of 1.78 goals per away game