Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Lanús - Deportivo Riestra
05/02/2026, 05:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
1.8
0.5
1:0
20%0:0
19%2:0
13%1:1
13%0:1
8%xG 分解
Lanús
Deportivo Riestra
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
52%
平局
33%
客胜
15%
进球数
Over 1.5
54%
Under 1.5
46%
Over 2.5
26%
Under 2.5
74%
Over 3.5
10%
Under 3.5
90%
双重机会
主胜或平局
85%
客胜或平局
48%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
31%
否
69%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 52% for Lanús, with expected goals of 1.23 for Lanús and 0.53 for Deportivo Riestra
- Lanús demonstrates a solid home defense, conceding an average of 0.62 goals per home game, while Deportivo Riestra concedes 2.67 goals per away game
- Deportivo Riestra averages only 0.33 goals per game this season and failed to score in 11 matches
风险因素
- Deportivo Riestra has won all 3 direct encounters against Lanús, with a goal difference of 6:1
- Lanús's recent goal production is stagnant at an average of 0.67 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.38 goals
- The absence of Antony Alonso (2 goals, 0 assists) is critical for Deportivo Riestra, impacting 29% of their usual starting XI's goal contribution
概述
Lanús (5th place, 23 points) host Deportivo Riestra (15th place, 10 points)
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on May 2, 2026, 5:30 PM
Lanús aims to solidify their position in the upper half of the table, while Deportivo Riestra needs crucial points in the relegation battle
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Lanús's form in the last 5 games is LDWLD
This corresponds to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Their last result was a 0-0 draw against Central Cordoba SdE
Deportivo Riestra's form in the last 5 games is DLLLW
This means 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Their last result was a 2-0 win against Independiente
统计数据
Lanús scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.00 goals in 15 games
In home games, Lanús scores an average of 1.12 goals and concedes 0.62 goals
Lanús kept 6 clean sheets and both teams scored in 6 games
Deportivo Riestra scored an average of 0.33 goals and conceded 0.80 goals in 15 games
In away games, Deportivo Riestra scores an average of 0.33 goals and concedes 2.67 goals
Deportivo Riestra kept 5 clean sheets and both teams scored in 3 games
Lanús's goal production is currently stagnant (0.67 goals per game), with a season average of 1.38 goals
Deportivo Riestra is currently scoring more often (0.60 goals per game) than their season average (0.45 goals per game)
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head matches, Lanús has no wins
Deportivo Riestra has won 3 matches
There have been no draws between the teams
The goal difference is 1:6 in favor of Deportivo Riestra
The last encounter on July 14, 2025, ended with a 1-0 win for Deportivo Riestra
关键球员
For Lanús, Dylan Aquino with 5 season goals and 1 assist, and Walter Bou with 2 season goals are crucial
Carlos Izquierdoz contributed 2 season goals for Lanús
For Deportivo Riestra, Pedro Ramírez with 1 season goal and Mariano Bracamonte with 1 season goal are relevant players
Cristian Paz has an average season rating of 6.81 in 14 appearances
门将
Lanús's goalkeeper Franco Petroli has an average season rating of 7.29 in one appearance
Lanús kept 4 clean sheets in home games
Deportivo Riestra's goalkeeper Ignacio Arce has an average season rating of 7.21 in 15 appearances
Deportivo Riestra kept 1 clean sheet in away games
影响因素
Lanús scores an average of 1.12 goals at home and concedes 0.62 goals
Deportivo Riestra scores an average of 0.33 goals away and concedes 2.67 goals