Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Belgrano - Sarmiento
05/03/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
1.9
0.6
1:0
18%0:0
17%1:1
13%2:0
12%0:1
8%xG 分解
Belgrano
Sarmiento
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
33%
客胜
17%
进球数
Over 1.5
58%
Under 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
Over 3.5
12%
Under 3.5
88%
双重机会
主胜或平局
83%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
35%
否
65%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Belgrano with a 51% probability and expected goals of 1.28 compared to 0.62 for Sarmiento
- Belgrano demonstrates a strong home defense, conceding an average of 0.62 goals per game and achieving 3 clean sheets
- Sarmiento, however, is defensively vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per away game without any clean sheets
风险因素
- Belgrano is weakened by the absence of key players such as Lucas Zelarayán (4 goals/1 assist), Nicolás Fernández (1 goal/4 assists), and Franco Vázquez (2 goals/0 assists), leaving only 56% of the usual starting XI goal threat available
- Belgrano's goal production has declined, with an average of 0.5 goals in recent matches compared to their season average of 1.1 goals
- Sarmiento shows a positive form trend, currently scoring more frequently (1.4 goals) than their season average (0.9 goals)
概述
Belgrano (5th place, 23 points) hosts Sarmiento (11th place, 19 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on May 3, 2026, 4:00 PM
Belgrano is in the mid-table, while Sarmiento is fighting to catch up
The match is crucial for both teams to improve their positions
近期状态
Belgrano's form across all competitions is LLWDL
The home team recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
Sarmiento's form across all competitions is WWLLW
The visitors achieved 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
According to the analysis, Belgrano's goal production has recently slowed (averaging 0.5 goals), while Sarmiento shows a positive form trend and is currently scoring more frequently (averaging 1.4 goals) than their season average (averaging 0.9 goals)
统计数据
Belgrano scores an average of 0.87 goals and concedes an average of 0.87 goals per season
Sarmiento scores an average of 0.87 goals and concedes an average of 1.07 goals per season
Belgrano had both teams score (BTTS) in 6 matches and 5 matches with over 2.5 goals
Sarmiento had both teams score in 6 matches and 6 matches with over 2.5 goals
At home, Belgrano scores an average of 0.88 goals and concedes an average of 0.62 goals
Away, Sarmiento scores an average of 0.8 goals and concedes an average of 2.0 goals
Belgrano achieved 3 clean sheets at home
Sarmiento failed to achieve any clean sheets away
历史交锋
There has only been 1 head-to-head match between Belgrano and Sarmiento so far
This match ended in a 0:0 draw on August 4, 2024
Both teams scored 0 goals in this encounter
The record is even with 0 wins for Belgrano, 0 for Sarmiento, and 1 draw
关键球员
Belgrano: Lisandro López (0 goals, 1 assist, Avg 7.13 Rating), Emiliano Rigoni (1 goal, 2 assists, Avg 6.68 Rating), Lucas Passerini (0 goals, 3 assists, Avg 6.67 Rating)
Sarmiento: Junior Marabel (6 goals, 3 assists, Avg 6.95 Rating), Cristian Zabala (1 goal, 0 assists, Avg 6.96 Rating), Jonatan Gómez (1 goal, 1 assist, Avg 6.77 Rating)
门将
Thiago Cardozo of Belgrano has achieved 7 clean sheets this season and has an average rating of 6.95
Javier Burrai of Sarmiento has achieved 5 clean sheets this season and has an average rating of 7.25
Thiago Cardozo recently showed a declining form trend
Javier Burrai recently showed a declining form trend
影响因素
Belgrano shows a solid defense at home, conceding an average of 0.62 goals per game
Sarmiento, on the other hand, concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game and has not achieved any clean sheets away
No data on the effects of the playing surface or weather conditions is available