Liga Profesional de Fútbol
San Lorenzo - Independiente
05/02/2026, 09:45 PM
预期进球
1.0
1.9
0.9
0:0
17%1:1
15%1:0
13%0:1
12%2:0
7%xG 分解
San Lorenzo
Independiente
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
35%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
58%
Under 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
Over 3.5
12%
Under 3.5
88%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
65%
双方进球
是
39%
否
61%
关键因素
- According to the mathematical analysis, a draw is the most likely outcome at 35%, followed by a home win (33%) and an away win (32%)
- San Lorenzo's solid home defense concedes an average of only 0.9 goals per game
- Independiente's stronger offense averages 1.47 goals per game this season, while San Lorenzo averages 0.87 goals
风险因素
- Independiente concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
- Independiente averaged 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 matches
- San Lorenzo averaged 3.8 shots on target in their last 5 matches
概述
San Lorenzo (6th place, 22 points) host Independiente (7th place, 21 points) in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match. The game takes place on May 2, 2026, 9:45 PM. Both teams are closely ranked in the table, vying for better positions.
近期状态
San Lorenzo shows good form with a record of W-D-D-D-W (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last five matches. They have recorded two wins and three draws. Their last game was a 1-0 away win against Platense. Independiente has a form of L-W-D-W-L, with two wins, one draw, and two losses. Their last match was a 0-2 away loss against Deportivo Riestra.
统计数据
San Lorenzo has scored an average of 0.87 goals per game this season and conceded 0.8 goals. At home, they average 0.9 goals scored and 0.9 goals conceded per game. The team kept 9 clean sheets this season. Independiente has scored an average of 1.47 goals per game and conceded 1.27 goals. Away from home, their average is 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per away game. Both teams scored in 10 of Independiente's 15 season matches, while for San Lorenzo, this occurred in 5 of 15 matches.
历史交锋
In the three direct encounters over the last two years, San Lorenzo has not secured a win, while Independiente won one match and two ended in a draw. The goal difference is 2:3 in favor of Independiente. The last meeting on September 21, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw.
关键球员
For San Lorenzo, Alexis Cuello with 4 goals and 3 assists, Rodrigo Auzmendi with 3 goals, and Manuel Insaurralde with 1 goal and an average rating of 7.06 are key players. For Independiente, Gabriel Ávalos stands out with 9 goals and 5 assists, Matías Abaldo with 4 goals, and Maximiliano Gutiérrez with 1 goal.
门将
For San Lorenzo, José Devecchi is in goal, with an average rating of 6.41 this season from 1 appearance. The San Lorenzo team has recorded 9 clean sheets in total. For Independiente, Rodrigo Rey is the goalkeeper, holding an average rating of 6.69 over 15 appearances. Independiente achieved 4 clean sheets in the current season.
影响因素
San Lorenzo scores an average of 0.9 goals at home and concedes 0.9 goals. Independiente scores an average of 1.4 goals away and concedes 2.0 goals.