Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Rosario Central - Tigre
05/03/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.1
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
13%0:1
9%2:0
9%xG 分解
Rosario Central
Tigre
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
33%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Critical squad impact for Rosario Central: Only 0% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available, without Jáminton Campaz (1G/4A), Alejo Veliz (4G/1A), Julián Fernández (1G/3A), Gastón Ávila (1G/1A), Vicente Tomás Pizarro Durcudoy (1G/1A), Enzo Giménez (1G/1A)
- Tigre struggles with significantly reduced goal production: Recently only 0.25 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.31 goals
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Rosario Central with a probability of 42%
风险因素
- Rosario Central shows recent defensive vulnerability with an average of 1.6 goals conceded in recent matches, compared to a season average of 1.15 goals conceded
- Tigre failed to score in 5 out of 15 season games, highlighting their offensive weakness
概述
Rosario Central (4th place, 27 points) will host Tigre (10th place, 19 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on May 3, 2026, 8:00 PM. The hosts aim to consolidate their position in the upper half of the table. Tigre urgently needs points to move away from the lower table regions
近期状态
Rosario Central's form in their last five matches is LWLWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). This corresponds to 3 wins and 2 losses. They enter this match with 2 consecutive wins. Tigre's form is LLDDL, with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last five games. They suffered a loss in their most recent outing
统计数据
Rosario Central scores an average of 1.27 goals and concedes 1.0 goal per game this season. At home, the average is 1.29 goals scored and 0.86 goals conceded. They kept 4 clean sheets. Tigre scores an average of 1.13 goals per game and concedes 0.93 goals. Away from home, they score an average of 1.2 goals and concede 1.2 goals. Tigre also recorded 4 clean sheets. For Rosario Central, over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 matches, compared to 4 for Tigre
历史交锋
There has only been one direct encounter between Rosario Central and Tigre so far. This single match ended in a 1:1 draw on May 21, 2024. The goal difference is 1:1, reflecting an even historical record
关键球员
For Rosario Central, Franco Ibarra starts with an average season rating of 7.37. Goalkeeper Jorge Broun has a rating of 7.07. Defender Facundo Mallo holds an average rating of 6.78. For Tigre, forward Ignacio Russo is a key player with 4 goals and 3 assists this season, holding a rating of 7.13. Defender Alan Barrionuevo contributed 2 goals and 2 assists, with a rating of 7.17. Midfielder Jalil Elías scored 1 goal and has a rating of 6.85
门将
Rosario Central's goalkeeper, Jorge Broun, has recorded 4 clean sheets this season. On Tigre's side, goalkeeper Felipe Zenobio has also achieved 4 clean sheets this campaign
影响因素
Rosario Central shows a solid defense at home with an average of 0.86 goals conceded. Tigre has a balanced record away from home, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded