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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Unión Santa Fe - Talleres Córdoba

05/02/2026, 09:45 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Unión Santa Fe
1.2
Total xG
2.0
Talleres Córdoba
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

15%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

2:0

10%

0:1

9%
xG 分解
USFTC

Unión Santa Fe

防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.29
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.11
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.03
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.36倍)
+0.01
全员可用

Talleres Córdoba

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.12
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.09
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.2球)
-0.04
Ronaldo Martínez替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
Ulises Ortegoza替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.3球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.45
-0.45
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

33%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

39%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

67%

双方进球

41%

59%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: The algorithm indicates a home win for Unión Santa Fe with a 44% probability
  • Strong home defense: Unión Santa Fe concedes only 0.57 goals on average at home
  • Current form: Talleres Córdoba shows better recent form with 3 wins and 1 draw from 5 matches
风险因素
  • Talleres Córdoba are missing Ronaldo Martínez and Ulises Ortegoza, reducing their usual assist share to 67%
  • Unión Santa Fe's recent goal production (1.4) is lower than their season average (1.8)
  • The model predicts only a 33% probability for over 2.5 goals
概述

Unión Santa Fe (8th place, 20 points) hosts Talleres Córdoba (4th place, 25 points) in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match

The game is scheduled for May 2, 2026, 10:45 PM

The mathematical analysis gives Unión Santa Fe a 44% probability of winning

近期状态

Unión Santa Fe's form across all competitions is LWLLD

This corresponds to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

Their last result was a draw

Talleres Córdoba's form across all competitions is WLWWD

This corresponds to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

Their last result was a draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Unión Santa Fe scores an average of 1.5 goals per game and concedes 1.21 goals

At home, they score 1.43 goals and concede only 0.57 goals per home game

Both teams scored in 7 of their 14 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 7 matches

Talleres Córdoba scores an average of 1.07 goals per game and concedes 0.8 goals

Away from home, they score 1 goal and concede 1 goal per away game

Both teams scored in 7 of their 15 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 matches

历史交锋

There has only been 1 head-to-head match between these two teams

Talleres Córdoba won this single match 3-2

The last encounter was on November 27, 2024

Talleres Córdoba was the recently dominant team in head-to-head encounters

关键球员

For Unión Santa Fe, Mateo Del Blanco (Defender, avg rating 7.34, 2 goals, 1 assist) and Julián Palacios (Midfielder, avg rating 7.15, 2 goals, 5 assists) are key players

Cristian Tarragona (Attacker, avg rating 7.1, 6 goals) is also crucial for their offense

For Talleres Córdoba, Alexandro Maidana (Defender, avg rating 7.08, 2 goals, 1 assist) and Franco Cristaldo (Midfielder, avg rating 6.97, 0 goals, 2 assists) are notable

Goalkeeper Guido Herrera (avg rating 7.05) is a vital part of their defense

门将

Matías Mansilla of Unión Santa Fe has kept 5 clean sheets this season with an average rating of 6.83

Guido Herrera of Talleres Córdoba has 6 clean sheets with an average rating of 7.05

影响因素

Unión Santa Fe shows strong defensive performance at home, conceding only 0.57 goals on average

Talleres Córdoba has a solid away defense, conceding an average of 1 goal per away game

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