Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Vélez Sarsfield - Instituto
07/24/2026, 10:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.4
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
11%1:0
10%0:1
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Vélez Sarsfield
Instituto
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
31%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Dominant gameplay: Vélez Sarsfield controlled possession recently, averaging 59% possession and 5.0 shots on target per game
- Instituto's away weakness: The visitors concede an average of 1.5 goals per match on the road
- Squad impact: Diego Valdés is out for Vélez Sarsfield, which reduces their assist threat, while Instituto must cope without G. Lodico
风险因素
- Stalling offense: Vélez's goal production has dropped to 1.0 goals per game recently compared to their season average of 1.2
- Low-scoring venue: The Estadio José Amalfitani has featured a tight average of only 1.8 goals per match
- Midfield absences: Instituto must cope with injuries to key midfielders like F. Moyano and G. Lodico
概述
Vélez Sarsfield host Instituto at the Estadio José Amalfitani
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on July 24, 2026, 11:00 PM
Third-placed Vélez Sarsfield (28 points) challenge ninth-placed Instituto (21 points)
An important clash in the upper tier of the table
近期状态
Vélez Sarsfield shows mixed form with the recent record of WDDDL
Instituto is in positive form with a record of WWLDW
Legend: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Vélez achieved 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games
Their recent form trend is negative with a stalling goal production of 1.0 goals per match
统计数据
Vélez Sarsfield average 1.06 goals scored and a strong 0.76 goals conceded per match
Instituto record an average of 1.06 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded
Instituto show vulnerability away from home, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per away game
In home matches of Vélez Sarsfield this season, they averaged 1.12 goals scored and 0.88 goals conceded
历史交锋
There have been 4 head-to-head matches between the two teams
Vélez Sarsfield won 2 times, Instituto won 1 time, with 1 draw
The overall goal difference in these direct duels is balanced at 2:2
The last meeting on January 23, 2026, ended in a 1-0 victory for Vélez Sarsfield
关键球员
Florián Monzón shines in attack for Vélez Sarsfield with 6 goals this season and 3 in his last 5 games
Matías Pellegrini contributed 3 goals and 2 assists with a strong average rating of 7.07
Alex Luna leads Instituto with 5 goals and a season rating of 7.07
门将
Tomás Marchiori protects the goal for Vélez Sarsfield and has kept 7 clean sheets this season
Marcos Ledesma starts for Instituto and has recorded 4 clean sheets so far
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at the Estadio José Amalfitani
Past matches at this venue averaged a low total of only 1.8 goals per game
The probability of both teams scoring at this stadium historically stands at just 40%