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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Lanús - San Lorenzo

07/26/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Lanús
1.3
Total xG
1.8
San Lorenzo
0.5
最可能的比分

1:0

19%

0:0

17%

2:0

13%

1:1

13%

2:1

7%
xG 分解
LANSL

Lanús

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.33
状态下滑 (0.3 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.29
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.27倍)
+0.28
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.15
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.03
Eduardo Salvio替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Carlos Izquierdoz 替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
52%进球产出缺失 (仅72%可用)

San Lorenzo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.59倍)
-0.67
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.32
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.13
客场表现不佳 (场均0.5球 vs 总体1.2球)
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

32%

客胜

14%

进球数

Over 1.5

56%

Under 1.5

44%

Over 2.5

28%

Under 2.5

72%

Over 3.5

12%

Under 3.5

88%

双重机会

主胜或平局

86%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

68%

双方进球

32%

68%

关键因素
  • Low-scoring venue: The stadium averaged just 1.2 goals per game recently, with a 0% BTTS rate in the last matches
  • Missing key pieces: Lanús are missing Eduardo Salvio and Carlos Izquierdoz, leaving them with only 72% of their usual lineup strength
  • Sterile possession: Lanús averaged high possession (62.4%) recently but struggled to create, with just 3.8 shots on target per match
风险因素
  • Offensive drought: Lanús' goal production has dried up recently, averaging just 0.33 goals compared to their 1.29 season average
  • Away defensive wall: San Lorenzo are incredibly tough to break down away from home, conceding only 0.83 goals per away game
  • High draw probability: With both sides struggling to convert possession into clear chances, a low-scoring stalemate is highly likely
概述

Lanús host San Lorenzo at the Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on July 26, 2026, 2:30 AM

A mid-table clash between 6th place (24 points) and 7th place (22 points)

Both teams fight for crucial points to stay in the upper half of the table

近期状态

Lanús show a downward trend with their recent form of WLDDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The hosts managed only 1 win and 2 draws alongside 2 losses in their last five

San Lorenzo look slightly more stable with a form of DDWLD

The visitors recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their recent stretch

统计数据

Lanús score an average of 1.06 goals and concede 1.00 goals per game

San Lorenzo average 0.94 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded

Lanús are strong at home, conceding only 0.62 goals per game on average

San Lorenzo are solid on the road, conceding just 0.83 goals per away match

历史交锋

Four head-to-head matches show 2 wins for Lanús and 2 draws

The last encounter ended in a 3-2 victory for Lanús on January 23, 2026

San Lorenzo are still waiting for their first win against Lanús in this span

关键球员

Ramiro Carrera shines in midfield with 2 goals and 3 assists, holding a 6.99 rating

Yoshan Valois brings offensive danger with 1 goal and a 6.73 average rating

Sasha Marcich stabilizes the defense and contributed 1 goal and 1 assist

Alexis Cuello is the main threat for the visitors with 4 goals and 3 assists

Rodrigo Auzmendi has been clinical with 4 goals in just 8 appearances

Ezequiel Herrera secures the backline with 1 goal and a 6.87 rating

门将

Nahuel Losada guards the goal for Lanús with a strong 7.00 rating and 7 clean sheets

Orlando Gill starts for San Lorenzo, boasting a 7.24 rating and 9 clean sheets

Both keepers have provided exceptional defensive stability this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Venue statistics indicate a very low-scoring environment with an average of 1.2 goals per game

In the last 5 matches at this stadium, both teams have failed to score in every single game

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