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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Belgrano - Rosario Central

07/23/2026, 10:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Belgrano
1.2
Total xG
2.0
Rosario Central
0.9
最可能的比分

0:0

15%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:1

10%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
BELRC

Belgrano

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.24
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.24
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.24
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.01
Lucas Passerini 替补席 (0球, 6助攻)
Francisco González Metilli替补席 (3球, 0助攻)

Rosario Central

小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.04
Enzo Copetti未进大名单 (5球, 0助攻)
Enzo Giménez未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
20%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.5球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

34%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

61%

Under 1.5

39%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

86%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

66%

双方进球

41%

59%

关键因素
  • Belgrano's superb form: The hosts have taken 4 wins and 1 draw recently, showing a rising form trend with 2.2 goals scored per match
  • Rock-solid home defense: Belgrano concedes only 0.45 goals per game at home and has secured 10 clean sheets overall this season
  • Tactical balance: Both sides have averaged 5.2 shots on target per match in their recent games showing significant attacking danger
风险因素
  • Key offensive loss for the visitors: E. Copetti is sidelined due to injury, depriving Rosario Central of 5 goals this season
  • Low-scoring venue history: Estadio Julio César Villagra historically averages just 1.6 total goals per game
  • High probability of a split outcome: The mathematical model suggests a notable 34% probability for a draw
概述

Belgrano hosts Rosario Central at the Estadio Julio César Villagra

Match scheduled for July 23, 2026, 11:30 PM

Rosario Central occupies 4th place in the table with 28 points

Belgrano follows closely in 5th place with 26 points

A direct clash for the top positions in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

近期状态

Belgrano is in excellent shape with a recent form of WWWDW

The hosts recorded 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches

Belgrano is scoring more frequently at 2.2 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.4

Rosario Central remains highly competitive with a form of WDWWL

The visitors suffered a narrow defeat in their last outing

统计数据

Belgrano averages 1.2 goals scored per game this season

The home defense is remarkably solid conceding just 0.8 goals per match

At home Belgrano concedes a mere 0.45 goals on average

Rosario Central averages 1.32 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded per game

Both Belgrano and Rosario Central average 1.22 and 1.25 goals respectively in away games

历史交锋

The head-to-head record features 2 direct encounters

Each team has claimed 1 victory so far

The total goal difference is perfectly balanced at 3-3

The last meeting on January 25, 2026, resulted in a 2-1 away win for Belgrano

关键球员

Nicolás Fernández has contributed 4 goals and 4 assists this season

Lucas Zelarayán remains a threat with 4 goals and 2 assists so far

Ángel Di María is the key playmaker for Rosario Central with 5 goals and 4 assists

门将

Manuel Vicentini is starting for Belgrano, who have kept 10 clean sheets this season

Conan Ledesma guards the net for Rosario Central with an average rating of 6.85

影响因素

Home advantage heavily favors Belgrano with only 5 goals conceded in 11 home matches

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Julio César Villagra

Matches at this venue historically produce a low average of 1.6 goals per game

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