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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Tigre

07/25/2026, 05:45 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
0.9
Total xG
2.3
Tigre
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:1

13%

0:0

12%

0:2

10%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
EDRCTIG

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.7倍)
-0.53
防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.52
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.22
状态上升 (0.5 vs 0.4 赛季平均)
+0.04
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
+0.01
44%进球产出缺失 (仅62%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均0.9球 vs 总体0.4球)

Tigre

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.27倍)
+0.88
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.41
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.27
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.24
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.17
Ignacio Russo替补席 (4球, 3助攻)
Santiago López替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Gonzalo Martínez替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
55%进球产出缺失 (仅51%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.41
-0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

22%

平局

31%

客胜

47%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

53%

客胜或平局

78%

非平局

69%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Tigre enters as favorites with a calculated 47% win probability and 1.37 expected goals
  • Significant offensive discrepancy, as Estudiantes de Río Cuarto averages only 0.31 goals at home
  • Only 51% of Tigre's goal threat is available, without Ignacio Russo, Santiago López, Gonzalo Martínez
风险因素
  • Only 63% of the goal threat is available for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto averaged only 2.8 shots on target in recent matches
  • Tigre's goal production has stalled recently, averaging 0.5 goals compared to a season average of 1.3
概述

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto host Tigre

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on July 25, 2026, 5:45 PM

15th-placed hosts (5 points) face 10th-placed Tigre (20 points)

A crucial clash for relegation-threatened Estudiantes against mid-table Tigre

近期状态

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto form is DLLLL

Recent record of 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses

Tigre form is LDDLD

Recent record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses

统计数据

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scores an average of 0.31 goals and concedes 1.5 goals per match

Tigre averages 1.13 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded

At home, Estudiantes scores 0.31 and concedes 0.77 goals per game

Tigre averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded in away matches

Matches at this venue have seen an average of 2.2 total goals this season

历史交锋

1 head-to-head match recorded

Tigre won the last meeting 2-0 on January 26, 2026

Goal difference of 0-2 against Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

关键球员

Facundo Cobos has 1 goal in 8 appearances with a season rating of 6.83

Mauro Valiente scored 1 goal this season with an average rating of 6.74

Siro Rosané contributed 1 assist in 14 games played

Alan Barrionuevo stands out with 2 goals, 2 assists, and a rating of 7.16

Federico Álvarez recorded 1 assist in 14 league appearances

Alfio Oviedo registered 1 goal in 9 appearances with a rating of 6.67

门将

Lucas Bruera starts in goal for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, who have kept 3 clean sheets this season

Felipe Zenobio is in goal for Tigre, a team with 4 clean sheets so far

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at the Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto

The stadium averages 2.2 goals per match this season

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto concedes an average of only 0.77 goals at home

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