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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Huracán - Banfield

07/25/2026, 12:15 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Huracán
1.5
Total xG
2.4
Banfield
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

11%

0:0

10%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
HURBAN

Huracán

小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.28
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.13
Ignacio Campo替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Banfield

防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.37
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.04
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.01
Mauro Méndez未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
27%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.1球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.41
-0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

30%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

70%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Home strength vs away struggle: Huracán concede only 0.8 goals on average at home, while Banfield concede 1.86 goals per away game
  • Significant absence: Banfield play without key attacker Mauro Méndez (6 goals, 3 assists), retaining only 78% of their starting lineup strength
  • Cautious tactical approach: Both sides recently averaged low attacking efficiency with only 3.0 (Huracán) and 3.6 (Banfield) shots on target
风险因素
  • Historical tendency for stalemates: Three of the last four head-to-head encounters ended in a draw
  • Banfield's defensive vulnerability: The visitors concede an average of 1.86 goals per away match
  • Low scoring probability: The mathematical model estimates the chance for over 2.5 goals at just 44%
概述

Huracán host Banfield at the Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on July 25, 2026, 2:15 AM

Huracán are in 7th place with 22 points, while Banfield are 12th with 18 points

A crucial mid-table clash for both sides

近期状态

Huracán's form is DLDWL, coming off a loss

Banfield's form is LLDDW, coming off a win

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Both teams recorded only one win in their last five matches

统计数据

Huracán score an average of 1.11 goals and concede 0.89 goals

Banfield average 1.06 goals scored and 1.19 goals conceded

Banfield struggle away from home, conceding 1.86 goals per match

Huracán remain stable at home, conceding only 0.8 goals on average

历史交锋

Very balanced record with 3 draws in 4 head-to-head matches

Huracán lead slightly with one win and 3:2 goals

The last encounter ended in a 1:1 draw

关键球员

Jordy Caicedo leads Huracán's attack with 8 goals this season

Facundo Waller stands out with a 7.03 average season rating

Banfield's midfield is driven by Santiago López García with 2 goals and 4 assists

Not in squad for Banfield: Mauro Méndez (6 goals, 3 assists)

门将

Hernán Galíndez starts in goal for Huracán with 7 clean sheets this season

Facundo Sanguinetti guards Banfield's goal with 4 clean sheets

Sanguinetti holds a strong season average rating of 7.18

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó

The stadium averages 2.8 goals per match based on the last 5 home games

Both teams scored in 80% of those stadium matches

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