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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Platense - Unión Santa Fe

07/25/2026, 12:15 AM

2 : 2
预期进球
Platense
1.2
Total xG
2.3
Unión Santa Fe
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

11%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
PLAUSF

Platense

小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.07
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.03
A. Lotti未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
F. Zapiola未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
T. Nasif未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
60%进球产出缺失 (仅30%可用)

Unión Santa Fe

防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.54
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.22倍)
+0.17
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.07
Rafael Profini未进大名单 (1球, 5助攻)
Marcelo Estigarribia未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
Mateo Del Blanco未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
29%进球产出缺失 (仅63%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.41
-0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

32%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

68%

双方进球

是

47%

否

53%

关键因素
  • Critical absence: Only 30% of Platense's goal threat is active, missing A. Lotti, F. Zapiola, and T. Nasif
  • Tactical margin: Unión Santa Fe averaged 6.6 shots on target recently, compared to Platense's 4.8
  • Form advantage: Platense is winless in their last five outings, losing three straight matches
风险因素
  • Squad depletion: The visitors miss key players, leaving only 63% of their usual starting strength available
  • Home scoring struggles: Platense averages only 0.67 goals scored per home match
  • Vulnerable away defense: Unión Santa Fe concedes an average of 1.8 goals per away game
概述

Platense hosts Unión Santa Fe at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on July 25, 2026, 12:15 AM

The hosts sit in 12th place with 16 points, while the visitors are 8th with 21 points

Both teams seek crucial points to climb the standings

近期状态

Platense is winless in their last five matches with a DDLLL trend (D = Draw, L = Loss)

The home side suffered three consecutive defeats recently

Unión Santa Fe shows slightly better form with LDDWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Both teams lost their previous match

统计数据

Platense averages just 0.63 goals scored per game and failed to score in ten matches

Unión Santa Fe is more productive, averaging 1.44 goals per match

The visitors concede an average of 1.8 goals per away game

Matches at this venue average only 1.4 total goals

历史交锋

In two head-to-head matches, Platense won once and one ended in a draw

The goal difference stands at 1-0 in favor of Platense

Their last encounter on January 22, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw

关键球员

Nicolás Retamar scored one goal and two assists

Ignacio Vázquez scored one goal this season

Cristian Tarragona scored eight goals this season

门将

Juan Pablo Cozzani started in goal recently

Matías Mansilla made 18 appearances in goal and kept five clean sheets

影响因素

Platense plays on home grass at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López

The venue has a low historic average of only 1.4 goals per match

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