🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Defensa y Justicia - Aldosivi

07/24/2026, 12:45 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Defensa y Justicia
1.2
Total xG
2.0
Aldosivi
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

15%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

2:0

10%

0:1

9%
xG 分解
DYJALD

Defensa y Justicia

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.44
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.23
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
+0.13
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.09
Aarón Molinas未进大名单 (3球, 4助攻)
Ayrton Portillo替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
51%进球产出缺失 (仅46%可用)

Aldosivi

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.68
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.6倍)
-0.15
状态上升 (0.8 vs 0.5 赛季平均)
+0.07
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.06
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
+0.03
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

33%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

67%

双方进球

41%

59%

关键因素
  • Only 46% of regular attacking threat available, without Aarón Molinas and Ayrton Portillo
  • Extremely weak output for the visitors with just 0.38 goals scored per game and 10 scoreless matches this season
  • Historical dominance with 2 wins from 3 direct meetings and a 7:0 goal record in favor of Defensa y Justicia
风险因素
  • Defensa y Justicia averaged only 3.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Very poor form trend for the hosts with a negative streak of 5 consecutive defeats (LLLLL)
  • Vulnerable away defense for Aldosivi with an average of 1.75 goals conceded per match on the road
概述

Defensa y Justicia (10th place, 19 points) host Aldosivi (14th place, 8 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on July 24, 2026, 2:45 AM at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

The home side enters as the mathematical favorite despite recent struggles

近期状态

Defensa y Justicia is in a severe slump with 5 consecutive defeats

Form: LLLLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Aldosivi is also winless in 5 matches but secured 3 draws

Form: DLDLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Defensa y Justicia averages 1.13 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game

Aldosivi struggles offensively with a low average of 0.38 goals scored per match

On the road, Aldosivi concedes 1.75 goals per game and has kept zero clean sheets

历史交锋

Defensa y Justicia dominates the matchup history with 2 wins in 3 meetings

Goal difference is 7:0 in favor of the hosts

The last direct clash on January 22, 2026, ended in a 0:0 draw

关键球员

Juan Gutiérrez leads the hosts with 3 goals and 3 assists this season

Lucas Souto contributes defensively and has scored 1 goal

Nicolás Cordero is the key man for the visitors with a rising form trend and a recent rating of 7.18

门将

Ignacio Chicco made one appearance for Aldosivi this season, earning a strong 7.47 rating

Matías Borgogno starts in goal for Defensa y Justicia

Aldosivi has registered zero away clean sheets across 8 matches on the road

影响因素

The match takes place on natural grass at the Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa y Justicia averages 1.17 goals scored per game at home

Stadium metrics indicate an average of 2.6 goals per match at this venue

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。