🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Racing Club - Gimnasia La Plata

07/24/2026, 10:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Racing Club
1.1
Total xG
1.9
Gimnasia La Plata
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

17%

1:0

15%

1:1

15%

0:1

10%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
RCGLP

Racing Club

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.14
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.10
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.08
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.06
Adrián Martínez未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
Gabriel Rojas未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
Marco Di Césare未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
Adrián Fernández未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
31%进球产出缺失 (仅68%可用)

Gimnasia La Plata

最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.05
Nicolás Barros Schelotto未进大名单 (3球, 3助攻)
Alexis Steimbach未进大名单 (0球, 4助攻)
Enzo Martínez未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅64%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.2球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.41
-0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

35%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

57%

Under 1.5

43%

Over 2.5

29%

Under 2.5

71%

Over 3.5

12%

Under 3.5

88%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

65%

双方进球

37%

63%

关键因素
  • Mathematical edge: The model calculates a home win probability of 41% and 1.09 expected goals for Racing Club
  • Historical dominance: Gimnasia La Plata won the last two head-to-head matches
  • Struggling offenses: Both teams are currently scoring fewer goals on average (1.0) compared to their season averages
风险因素
  • Home squad weakened: Without Adrián Martínez, Gabriel Rojas, Marco Di Césare, and Adrián Fernández, only 69% of the usual goal threat is available
  • Away squad weakened: Without Nicolás Barros Schelotto, Alexis Steimbach, and Enzo Martínez, only 64% of the usual goal threat is available
  • Low-scoring venue history: Past matches at this venue produced an average of only 1.6 goals
概述

Racing Club (8th place, 21 points) host Gimnasia La Plata (6th place, 26 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on July 24, 2026, 10:00 PM

The home side looks to close the gap in the standings

近期状态

Racing Club shows form DDDWL with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches

Gimnasia La Plata has form WWWWL with 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss

Both teams suffered a defeat in their last match

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Racing Club scored an average of 1.06 goals and conceded 0.94 goals per game this season

At home, Racing averages 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded goals

Gimnasia La Plata scored an average of 1.11 goals and conceded 1.17 goals

In away matches, Gimnasia concedes an average of 1.38 goals while scoring 1.12

历史交锋

There have been 2 head-to-head matches so far

Gimnasia La Plata won both encounters with a total score of 3-1

The last duel on January 24, 2026, ended in a 2-1 win for Gimnasia La Plata

关键球员

Santiago Solari scored 2 goals and provided 3 assists in 17 appearances

Tomás Conechny has 3 goals and 2 assists in 18 matches this season

Matías Zaracho scored 3 goals in his last 5 matches

Marcelo Torres has already scored 8 goals in 18 matches this season

Nacho Fernández contributed 2 goals and 2 assists in 16 matches

Agustín Auzmendi provided 2 assists in the last 5 matches

门将

Facundo Cambeses achieved an average rating of 6.99 this season and kept 7 clean sheets

Nelson Insfrán has an average rating of 6.94 and kept 6 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on the grass pitch of the Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón

The home average for Racing Club stands at 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match

Past matches at this stadium averaged 1.6 goals

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。