Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Atlético Tucumán - Independiente Rivadavia
07/26/2026, 06:00 PM
预期进球
1.0
2.1
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
14%0:1
11%1:0
11%1:2
7%xG 分解
Atlético Tucumán
Independiente Rivadavia
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
34%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
63%
Under 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
66%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Tactical dominance of the visitors: Independiente Rivadavia averaged 5.4 shots on target with 58% possession in recent matches, compared to Tucumán's average of 3.0 shots
- Table situation: League leaders Independiente Rivadavia (34 points) travel as clear favorites to face 13th-placed Atlético Tucumán (14 points)
- Offensive trend: The visitors are currently scoring more frequently (2.5) than their season average (1.9), while the hosts' goal production has slowed to an average of 0.8
风险因素
- Low offensive output from the hosts: Atlético Tucumán recently averaged just 3.0 shots on target per match with a sluggish goal production of 0.8
- Loss of creativity for the visitors: Due to the absence of key players, only 57% of their regular assist capacity is available in the squad
- High outcome uncertainty: The mathematical analysis predicts an extremely tight match with almost identical probabilities of around 33% each for a home win, draw, and away win
概述
Atlético Tucumán (13th place, 14 points) host Independiente Rivadavia (1st place, 34 points) at the Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro
Liga Profesional de Fútbol on July 26, 2026, 6:00 PM
A classic matchup between the league leaders and the underdogs
近期状态
Form Atlético Tucumán: LDLDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Recent results show 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Form Independiente Rivadavia: WDWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Recent results show 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
统计数据
Atlético Tucumán scores an average of 0.94 goals per game and concedes 1.25
In home games, the hosts average 0.89 goals scored and 0.67 conceded
Independiente Rivadavia scores an average of 1.76 goals per game and concedes 1.00
In away games, the visitors average 1.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded
历史交锋
A total of 2 head-to-head matches in the records
Each team has won exactly 1 match
The last encounter on January 24, 2026, ended in a 2-1 win for Independiente Rivadavia
关键球员
Leandro Díaz with 5 season goals and 1 assist
Renzo Tesuri with 2 season goals and 1 assist
Franco Nicola with 2 season goals and 1 assist
Fabrizio Sartori with 7 season goals and 0 assists
Leonel Bucca with 4 season goals and 0 assists
José Florentín with 3 season goals and 0 assists
Not nominated: Gonzalo Ríos (1 goal, 3 assists), Alejo Osella (4 goals, 0 assists), Rodrigo Atencio (0 goals, 4 assists)
门将
Luis Ingolotti played 16 league matches and kept 5 clean sheets
Nicolás Bolcato made 16 appearances and achieved 4 clean sheets
影响因素
The match will be played on grass at the Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro
Historical venue stats show an average of 1.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches at this stadium