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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Defensa y Justicia - Deportivo Riestra

07/29/2026, 08:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Defensa y Justicia
1.0
Total xG
1.7
Deportivo Riestra
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

19%

1:0

16%

1:1

15%

0:1

11%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
DYJDR

Defensa y Justicia

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.38
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.17
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.13
Aarón Molinas未进大名单 (3球, 4助攻)
Ayrton Portillo替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
37%进球产出缺失 (仅51%可用)

Deportivo Riestra

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.57倍)
-0.23
状态上升 (1.2 vs 0.7 赛季平均)
+0.17
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.12
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.10
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
+0.10

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

37%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

54%

Under 1.5

46%

Over 2.5

26%

Under 2.5

74%

Over 3.5

10%

Under 3.5

90%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

63%

双方进球

35%

65%

关键因素
  • Critical absences: Only 52% of the goal threat is available with Aarón Molinas and Ayrton Portillo missing
  • Tactical contrast: Defensa y Justicia recently controlled games with an average of 57% possession, while Deportivo Riestra plays on the counter with an average of 32% possession
  • Form trend: Deportivo Riestra is currently scoring more frequently with 1.3 goals per game compared to their season average of 0.7
风险因素
  • Away weakness: Deportivo Riestra concedes an average of 4.0 goals per away match this season
  • Short rest period: Deportivo Riestra has only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Attacking slump: Defensa y Justicia's goal production has stalled recently with just 0.8 goals per game
概述

Defensa y Justicia (10th place, 19 points) host Deportivo Riestra (15th place, 11 points)

Match on July 29, 2026, 5:00 PM at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa y Justicia enters as slight favorites with a 38% win probability according to the mathematical model

近期状态

Defensa y Justicia has a form of LLLLD with 0 wins and 4 losses in the last 5 matches

Deportivo Riestra shows a positive trend with LLWDW, recording 2 wins and one draw

The visitors recently celebrated a clear 3-0 victory against Boca Juniors

统计数据

Defensa y Justicia averages 1.12 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded per game this season

Deportivo Riestra scores an average of only 0.47 goals but concedes just 0.71 goals

The visitors have already kept 7 clean sheets this season

In home matches, Defensa y Justicia concedes an average of 1.57 goals

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2 games and 2 ended in a draw

The goal difference is 4:2 in favor of the home team

The last direct duel ended in a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia on January 29, 2026

关键球员

Juan Gutiérrez with 3 goals and 3 assists, alongside David Barbona with 2 goals this season, shape the offense

Additionally, midfielder Agustín Hausch is in the starting lineup

For the visitors, Antony Alonso with 3 goals and Alexander Díaz with one goal this season are available

They are supported by midfielder Brian Sánchez, who has scored one goal

门将

Matías Borgogno is in goal for the home team, having played one season match so far

Ignacio Arce guarded the visitors' goal in 17 matches and shows a rising form trend

The away goalkeeper has already completed 7 clean sheets this season

影响因素

At the Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, the goal average this season is 2.6 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of Defensa y Justicia's home games so far

The match will be played on a natural grass surface

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