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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Unión Santa Fe - Lanús

08/06/2026, 10:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Unión Santa Fe
1.6
Total xG
2.4
Lanús
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:0

13%

2:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
USFLAN

Unión Santa Fe

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.35倍)
+0.76
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.36
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.33
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.17
Rafael Profini未进大名单 (1球, 5助攻)
Marcelo Estigarribia替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
Mateo Del Blanco未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Brahian David Cuello替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
27%进球产出缺失 (仅70%可用)

Lanús

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.30
状态下滑 (0.3 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.26
防守不足 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.23
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.13
20%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.2球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.44
-0.44
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

28%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

72%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Squad depletion: Unión Santa Fe is missing four key players, leaving them with only 71% of their regular lineup strength
  • Home defensive wall: Unión Santa Fe concedes only 0.62 goals per game on average when playing at home
  • Model prediction: The mathematical model indicates a 54% probability of a home victory
风险因素
  • Fatigue factor: Lanús enters the match with only 3 days of rest since their last outing
  • Struggling attacks: Unión Santa Fe's recent goals average dropped to 1.0, while Lanús managed only 0.33 goals per game recently
  • Possession control: Lanús averaged 60% possession in recent matches and could dictate the tempo
概述

Unión Santa Fe host Lanús at the Estadio 15 de Abril

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 6, 2026, 10:00 PM

Unión Santa Fe sit in 8th place with 21 points

Lanús occupy 6th place with 24 points

A tight mid-table clash is expected

近期状态

Unión Santa Fe's form is DWLDL

Lanús enter with form DDLWL

Both teams recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Unión Santa Fe lost their last match 0-2 against Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Lanús lost their last match 0-1 against Instituto

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Unión Santa Fe average 1.4 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded per match

At home, Unión Santa Fe concede only 0.62 goals per game on average

Lanús average 1.0 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded per match

Unión Santa Fe kept 5 clean sheets in their home matches

Lanús kept 2 clean sheets in their away games

历史交锋

There have been 2 head-to-head matches

The away team won 1 match, with 1 ending in a draw

The goal record stands at 2-3 in favor of Unión Santa Fe

The last meeting ended in a 2-1 away victory for Unión Santa Fe on January 29, 2026

关键球员

Cristian Tarragona has scored 9 goals this season with an average rating of 7.08

Julián Palacios contributed 3 goals and 7 assists in 19 appearances

Juan Pablo Ludueña stabilizes the defense and scored 1 goal

Carlos Izquierdoz leads Lanús with a strong average rating of 7.13

Ramiro Carrera has scored 2 goals and provided 3 assists from midfield

Nahuel Losada excels in goal with an average rating of 7.07

门将

Matías Mansilla played 20 matches for Unión Santa Fe, keeping 5 clean sheets

Nahuel Losada has made 17 appearances for Lanús, contributing to 8 clean sheets

影响因素

The match takes place at Estadio 15 de Abril on grass

Unión Santa Fe benefit from a strong home record, conceding only 0.62 goals per home match

Venue stats show an average of 2.2 goals per game with an 80% BTTS rate

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