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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Talleres Córdoba - Vélez Sarsfield

07/30/2026, 10:00 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
Talleres Córdoba
1.0
Total xG
1.9
Vélez Sarsfield
0.9
最可能的比分

0:0

16%

1:1

15%

1:0

13%

0:1

11%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
TCVS

Talleres Córdoba

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.27
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.19
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.16
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.11
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.10
Alexandro Maidana未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Matías Catalán未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)

Vélez Sarsfield

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.12
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.07
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.27倍)
-0.06
Florián Monzón替补席 (6球, 0助攻)
Diego Valdés替补席 (0球, 5助攻)
Tobías Andrada未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
40%进球产出缺失 (仅72%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

35%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

59%

Under 1.5

41%

Over 2.5

30%

Under 2.5

70%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

65%

双方进球

40%

60%

关键因素
  • Severe squad impact for Vélez: Top scorers Florián Monzón (6 goals) and Diego Valdés (5 assists) are missing from the starting lineup
  • Declining attack: Talleres' goal production has stalled recently, averaging 0.8 goals compared to its season average of 1.1
  • Solid defensive lines: Talleres concede just 0.6 goals on average at home, while Vélez allow only 0.67 goals on the road
风险因素
  • Talleres are missing key players such as Alexandro Maidana (2 goals, 1 assist) and Matías Catalán (2 assists)
  • Talleres averaged just 3.8 shots on target per match in recent games
概述

Talleres Córdoba (4th place, 26 points) host Vélez Sarsfield (3rd place, 28 points) at Estadio Juan Domingo Perón

Liga Profesional de Fútbol on July 30, 2026, 10:00 PM

A crucial top-tier matchup with only two points separating the sides

近期状态

Talleres Córdoba enter the match with a form of WDDLL

The home side recently suffered two consecutive defeats

Vélez Sarsfield show a recent form of DDDLW

Vélez won their last match 1-0 against Instituto

统计数据

Talleres average 0.94 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded per game

At home, Talleres' defense is solid, conceding only 0.6 goals per match

Vélez Sarsfield concede an average of just 0.67 goals in away matches

The visitors have kept 8 clean sheets so far this season

历史交锋

There have been 4 direct encounters in the database

Vélez Sarsfield won 3 of these matches, while Talleres Córdoba won 1

The last meeting on January 27, 2026, ended in a 2-1 victory for Vélez Sarsfield

关键球员

Ronaldo Martínez (Attacker) scored 3 goals and made 1 assist in 18 appearances

Augusto Schott (Defender) contributed 3 goals in 17 matches with a 6.88 rating

Manuel Lanzini (Midfielder) leads the visitors with 4 goals in 18 matches and a 7.20 rating

门将

Ezequiel Unsain guards the net for Talleres Córdoba with a 6.59 rating

Tomás Marchiori features in goal for Vélez Sarsfield with a strong 7.29 rating

Vélez has recorded 8 clean sheets, compared to 6 for Talleres

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass

Estadio Juan Domingo Perón has seen an average of 2.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches

60% of those matches produced over 2.5 goals

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