Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate
07/29/2026, 10:15 PM
预期进球
0.9
2.7
1.8
1:1
12%0:2
11%1:2
10%0:3
6%1:3
6%xG 分解
Gimnasia La Plata
River Plate
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
17%
平局
26%
客胜
57%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
双重机会
主胜或平局
43%
客胜或平局
83%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Tactical dominance: River Plate averaged 64.4% possession and 6.2 shots on target in recent matches
- Favorites role: The mathematical model calculates a 57% win probability for River Plate
- Historical dominance: River Plate won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches with a clear 8:2 goal difference
风险因素
- Marcelo Torres and Nicolás Barros Schelotto are missing for Gimnasia, leaving only 61% of their goal threat available
- Facundo Colidio, Sebastián Driussi and Aníbal Moreno are missing for River Plate, leaving only 63% of their goal threat available
- Gimnasia La Plata's goal production is stalling recently, averaging only 1.0 goal per game compared to their season average of 1.2
概述
Gimnasia La Plata host River Plate at the Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Liga Profesional de Fútbol on July 29, 2026, 11:15 PM
Gimnasia (6th place, 26 points) challenge favorites River Plate (2nd place, 29 points)
River Plate aim to keep pressure on the league leaders with a victory
近期状态
Gimnasia La Plata form: WWWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Gimnasia suffered 2 consecutive losses after 3 previous wins
River Plate form: DWWLL
The visitors also suffered 2 consecutive losses, with 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 5
统计数据
Gimnasia average 1.11 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded per match
At home, Gimnasia average 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded
River Plate average 1.38 goals scored and 0.86 goals conceded per match
On the road, River Plate concede only 0.67 goals per game on average
历史交锋
5 head-to-head matches in historical records
River Plate lead with 3 wins to 1 win for Gimnasia, alongside 1 draw
The goal difference stands at 8:2 in favor of River Plate
The last match on May 14, 2026, ended in a 2-0 victory for River Plate
关键球员
Agustín Auzmendi shows rising form with 2 assists in the last 5 games
Nacho Fernández contributed 2 goals and 2 assists this season with a stable trend
Nelson Insfrán shined recently with an average rating of 7.31 in his last 5 games
Ángel Correa is in top form with 1 goal and 4 assists in his last 5 appearances
Tomás Galván impresses with 3 goals this season and a stable average rating of 7.09
Marcos Acuña recently raised his form to a strong rating of 7.29
门将
Nelson Insfrán starts for Gimnasia, boasting 6 clean sheets this season
Santiago Beltrán guards the net for River Plate and has kept 9 clean sheets so far
影响因素
Gimnasia benefit from home advantage at the Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, with 11 home goals scored and 10 conceded
The stadium averages 2.8 total goals per match historically
The game will be played on natural grass