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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Rosario Central - Racing Club

07/29/2026, 12:15 AM

0 : 0
预期进球
Rosario Central
1.6
Total xG
2.7
Racing Club
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
RCRC

Rosario Central

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.56倍)
+0.71
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.01
Enzo Copetti替补席 (5球, 0助攻)
Enzo Giménez未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
11%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

Racing Club

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
+0.34
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.09
Tomás Conechny替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Adrián Martínez未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
Gabriel Rojas未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
Matías Zaracho替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Marco Di Césare替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
63%进球产出缺失 (仅46%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

28%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

72%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Critical squad impact: Racing Club is missing five key players, leaving them with only 47% of their typical goal threat available
  • Shooting efficiency: Rosario Central averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches compared to Racing Club's average of 2.6
  • Home advantage predicted: The model calculates a 47% home win probability with 1.60 expected goals for Rosario Central
风险因素
  • Poor trend for Rosario Central after suffering two consecutive losses in the league
  • An average of only 2.6 shots on target for Racing Club in recent matches indicates a limited offensive threat
  • Limited data on duel statistics for recent matches
概述

Rosario Central (4th place, 28 points) hosts Racing Club (8th place, 21 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on July 29, 2026, 1:15 AM

The home team enters the match as favorites in the battle for top positions

近期状态

Rosario Central form is DWWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Two consecutive losses recently for the hosts

Racing Club arrives with form DDWLW

Visitors with a win in their last match, following a defeat

统计数据

Rosario Central averages 1.30 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded per match

Racing Club scores an average of 1.11 goals and concedes 0.95

The hosts are defensively strong at home, conceding only 0.75 goals per game

Racing Club concedes just 0.91 goals on average in away matches

历史交锋

3 head-to-head matches recorded

Rosario Central won 2, Racing Club won 1, with 0 draws

The last match on May 13, 2026, ended 2:1 in favor of Rosario Central

关键球员

Ángel Di María has 5 goals, 4 assists, and an average rating of 7.42

Gastón Ávila contributed 2 goals and 2 assists this season

Tomás Badaloni scored twice in his last 5 matches

Santiago Solari is a key asset for the visitors with 2 goals and 4 assists

Santiago Sosa solidifies Racing Club's defense with a rating of 7.20

Matko Miljevic recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in 15 season appearances

门将

Conan Ledesma is in goal for Rosario Central with an average rating of 6.84

He has recorded 4 clean sheets this season

Facundo Cambeses guards Racing Club's goal with a rating of 7.02

He contributed to 7 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at the Estadio 15 de Abril

Stadium statistics show an average of 2.8 goals per match

Both teams scored in all 5 recorded matches at this venue

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