Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Independiente - Newell's Old Boys
07/31/2026, 12:15 AM
预期进球
1.4
2.4
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
11%0:0
11%2:0
9%2:1
9%xG 分解
Independiente
Newell's Old Boys
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
30%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Squad impact for the visitors: Newell's Old Boys are missing Matías Cóccaro and Jeronimo Russo, leaving only 68% of their seasonal goal threat available
- Statistical matchup: Independiente scores an average of 1.5 goals at home, whereas Newell's Old Boys concede an average of 1.7 goals in away matches
- Mathematical model: Calculations favor Independiente with a 47% win probability and predict 1.44 home goals
风险因素
- Rising form trend: Newell's Old Boys have scored more frequently in recent matches (1.5) compared to their season average (1.0)
- Head-to-head record: Independiente has failed to win any of the last 2 encounters against Newell's Old Boys
概述
Independiente (5th place, 24 points) host Newell's Old Boys (14th place, 15 points)
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on July 31, 2026, 2:15 AM at the Estadio Libertadores de América
The hosts enter this fixture as the clear favorites
近期状态
Independiente shows a form of WLWLW with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
Newell's Old Boys are unbeaten in 5 matches with a form of DWDDW, consisting of 2 wins and 3 draws
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Independiente scores an average of 1.5 goals and concedes 1.28 goals per match this season
In home games, they average 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 goals conceded
Newell's Old Boys average 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 goals conceded in away matches
Both teams scored in 12 of Independiente's 18 matches this season
历史交锋
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Newell's Old Boys won 1 while 1 ended in a draw
The most recent encounter on January 28, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw
The goal difference in these matches stands at 3-2 in favor of Independiente
关键球员
Gabriel Ávalos leads the hosts' attack with 11 goals and 5 assists
Matías Abaldo has contributed 5 goals and 1 assist so far this season
Maximiliano Gutiérrez recorded 2 goals and 2 assists
For the visitors, Ignacio Ramírez is the top scorer with 4 goals
Walter Mazzantti has registered 1 goal and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.09
Facundo Guch also has 1 goal and 1 assist this term
门将
Rodrigo Rey guards the goal for Independiente, recording 5 clean sheets this season
Josué Reinatti starts in goal for Newell's Old Boys, maintaining a high average rating of 7.38 so far
影响因素
An average of 3.6 goals per match are scored at the Estadio Libertadores de América
In 3 out of 5 home matches, there were over 2.5 goals and both teams scored
The match will be played on a natural grass surface