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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

07/29/2026, 12:15 AM

3 : 0
预期进球
Argentinos Juniors
1.8
Total xG
2.4
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
0.6
最可能的比分

1:0

14%

2:0

14%

1:1

11%

0:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
AJEDRC

Argentinos Juniors

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.24
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第15位, 相差12位)
+0.10
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.00
Iván Morales替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Román Riquelme未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
Leandro Lozano未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.71
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.14
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第3位, 相差12位)
-0.09
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
+0.06
状态上升 (0.6 vs 0.4 赛季平均)
+0.06
28%进球产出缺失 (仅83%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

64%

平局

25%

客胜

11%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

89%

客胜或平局

36%

非平局

75%

双方进球

是

41%

否

59%

关键因素
  • Tactical dominance: Argentinos Juniors averaged 5.6 shots on target and 58% possession in recent matches
  • Home and away trend: The hosts concede only 0.42 goals per home game on average, whereas the visitors concede an average of 4.67 goals away from home
  • Mathematical prediction: The model calculates a clear home win probability of 64% and expects 1.80 home goals
风险因素
  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto with only 4 days of rest since their last match
  • Low offensive threat from the visitors, who averaged only 2.8 shots on target in recent matches
  • Limited data availability for weather conditions
概述

Argentinos Juniors vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Liga Profesional de Fútbol on July 29, 2026, 2:15 AM

Home team is 3rd with 29 points

Visitors are 15th with 5 points

A clash between the top tier and the bottom of the table

近期状态

Home form: LWWDW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)

Away form: LLLLW (1 win, 4 losses)

Both teams won their last match

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Home team scores avg 1.2 goals and concedes avg 0.8

At home, Argentinos Juniors concede only avg 0.42 goals

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto score avg 0.35 goals

Visitors concede avg 4.67 goals away from home

Home team has 10 clean sheets already

历史交锋

Only 1 head-to-head match so far

Ended in a 0:0 draw on January 30, 2026

Historical record is completely even

关键球员

Alan Lescano: 4 goals, rating 7.09

Tomás Molina: 4 goals, 2 assists in 15 matches

Sebastián Prieto: Defender with a strong 7.08 rating

Sergio Ojeda: 1 goal, rating 6.74 for the visitors

Facundo Cobos: 1 goal, rating 6.9

Mateo Bajamich: 15 appearances, 1 goal

门将

Brayan Josué Cortés Fernández: 20 apps, rating 6.85, 10 clean sheets

Lucas Bruera: 1 app, rating 7.44

Away team has 4 clean sheets in total

影响因素

Argentinos Juniors benefit from strong home defense (5 goals conceded in 12 games)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto struggle away (14 goals conceded in 3 games)

Venue averages 2.0 goals per game

Grass surface favors the home team

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