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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Banfield - Sarmiento

07/28/2026, 10:00 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
Banfield
1.8
Total xG
2.5
Sarmiento
0.7
最可能的比分

2:0

13%

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

3:0

8%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
BANSAR

Banfield

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.27倍)
+1.23
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.63
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.09
Mauro Méndez未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
24%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.1球)

Sarmiento

防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.55
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.58倍)
-0.29
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.14
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
+0.02
客场表现不佳 (场均0.5球 vs 总体0.9球)
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

61%

平局

26%

客胜

14%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

86%

客胜或平局

39%

非平局

75%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Defensive contrast: Banfield concedes only 0.60 goals on average at home, while Sarmiento concedes an average of 2.80 goals away
  • Tactical setups: Both teams averaged counter-oriented play in recent matches, with possession under 45%
  • Model prediction: Mathematical analysis calculates a 61% home win probability for Banfield
风险因素
  • Fatigue factor: Banfield with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Lack of offensive threat: Both teams averaged fewer than 3.5 shots on target in recent matches
  • Away weakness: Sarmiento concedes an average of 2.80 goals away this season
概述

Banfield hosts Sarmiento at Estadio Florencio Solá

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on July 28, 2026, 10:00 PM

Mid-table clash between 12th and 11th position

The hosts aim to overtake the visitors with a home win

近期状态

Banfield form string: LDDWL

Form stats: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses

Most recently suffered a 0-1 defeat against Huracán

Sarmiento shows form string: LLWLL

Form stats: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses

Recently lost 2-3 against Argentinos Juniors

Explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Banfield scores an average of 1.00 goals and concedes 1.18 per match

Sarmiento averages 0.88 goals scored and 1.35 conceded

Banfield's home record stands at 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded goals per match

Sarmiento concedes an extremely high average of 2.80 goals away, scoring 0.80

Banfield kept 4 clean sheets at home this season

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches recorded

0 home wins, 1 away win for Sarmiento and 1 draw

Goal difference of 1-2 in favor of Sarmiento

The last meeting on January 30, 2026 ended 1-0 for Sarmiento

关键球员

Santiago López García in midfield with 2 goals, 4 assists, and a 7.02 rating

Attacker Tiziano Perrota scored 4 goals this season with a 6.92 rating

Defender Ignacio Abraham contributed 4 assists

Not nominated: Mauro Méndez (6T/3A)

Junior Marabel recorded 7 goals and 3 assists

Pablo Magnin in attack scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist

Cristian Zabala controls the midfield with a 6.96 rating

门将

Goalkeeper Facundo Sanguinetti has kept 4 clean sheets for Banfield

Away keeper Iván Arboleda has played 1 match so far with a 6.24 rating

Banfield's defense appears more stable with only 6 goals conceded at home

影响因素

Banfield relies on a strong defense at Estadio Florencio Solá, conceding only 0.60 goals per match

Matches at this venue average 1.8 goals with a 20% BTTS rate

Home advantage supports the hosts' status as favorites

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