Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Instituto - Platense
07/30/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.2
2.1
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
13%0:1
9%2:0
9%xG 分解
Instituto
Platense
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
33%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
63%
Under 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Strong home defense: Instituto concedes an average of only 0.73 goals per game on home soil
- Struggling visitors: Platense is winless in 5 matches and averages a low 0.71 goals scored per game this season
- Clear home bias: The model calculates a 42% probability for an Instituto victory compared to 25% for Platense
风险因素
- Weakened Platense attack: Missing T. Nasif and A. Lotti leaves only 50% of the team's seasonal goal threat active
- Low-scoring affair: The mathematical model shows only a 35% probability for Over 2.5 goals
- Instituto's offensive slump: The home side averaged fewer goals recently (0.8) compared to their season average (1.0)
概述
Instituto host Platense at Estadio Juan Domingo Perón
Both teams compete in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Instituto sits in 9th place with 21 points
Platense occupies 12th place with 16 points
Kick-off is scheduled for July 30, 2026, 12:30 AM
近期状态
Instituto enters with a form of WLDWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Their last match ended in a loss against Vélez Sarsfield
Platense is winless in 5 matches with a form of DLLLD
Platense recently secured a draw against Unión Santa Fe
统计数据
Instituto averages 1 goal scored and 1.06 goals conceded per match
Platense averages 0.71 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per game
At home, Instituto concedes only 0.73 goals per match
Platense failed to score in 10 matches this season
历史交锋
There have been 4 direct encounters in total
Platense won 2 games, while Instituto claimed 1 victory
The last match ended 2-1 in favor of Platense on January 26, 2026
The overall goal difference is balanced at 4-4
关键球员
Alex Luna has scored 5 goals in 16 appearances for the hosts
Diego Sosa contributes from defense with 1 goal and 2 assists
Jhon Córdoba has 1 goal in 13 season appearances
For Platense, Nicolás Retamar is a key asset with 1 goal and 2 assists
Bautista Merlini has scored 2 goals in 15 appearances
Ignacio Vázquez adds defensive stability and scored 1 goal
门将
Marcos Ledesma defends the goal for Instituto with a season rating of 6.89
Juan Pablo Cozzani is in goal for Platense holding a season rating of 6.52
Instituto recorded 4 clean sheets this season, while Platense managed 6
影响因素
Estadio Juan Domingo Perón features an average of 2.4 goals per match
The stadium both teams to score rate is low at 20%
Instituto displays a solid home defense, conceding only 8 goals in 11 home games
The game will be played on natural grass