Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Boca Juniors - Estudiantes
08/05/2026, 10:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.3
1.0
1:1
15%1:0
12%0:0
12%2:0
9%2:1
9%xG 分解
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
31%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Boca Juniors are scoring more frequently recently (2.0 goals) than their season average (1.5 goals)
- Boca Juniors averaged 6.6 shots on target and dominated possession with 65% in recent matches
- The mathematical model predicts a 45% probability of a home win for Boca Juniors
风险因素
- Boca Juniors face a physical disadvantage with only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Estudiantes present an extremely solid defense, conceding an average of only 0.43 goals in away matches
- Alan Velasco is missing from the Boca Juniors squad
概述
Boca Juniors (2nd place, 30 points) host Estudiantes (1st place, 31 points) at the Estadio Alberto José Armando
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 5, 2026, 10:00 PM
A top-of-the-table clash with leadership on the line
近期状态
Boca Juniors hold a form of WWLLD in their last five matches
This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Estudiantes travel with a form of DWLLW, also recording 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Boca Juniors recently drew, while Estudiantes secured a win
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Boca Juniors score an average of 1.37 goals and concede 0.89 goals per game this season
In home matches, they average 1.43 goals scored and 0.86 goals conceded
Estudiantes boast a strong defense, conceding only 0.53 goals per game
They concede only 0.43 goals per game in away matches
历史交锋
There have been 4 head-to-head matches in recent history
Boca Juniors won 2 matches, Estudiantes won 1, with 1 draw
The last encounter on January 29, 2026, ended in a 2-1 victory for Estudiantes
关键球员
Miguel Merentiel (5 goals, 2 assists, rating 6.84)
Leandro Paredes (2 goals, 3 assists, rating 7.55)
Tomás Aranda (1 goal, 3 assists, rating 7.07)
Tiago Palacios (3 goals, 3 assists, rating 7.13)
Guido Carrillo (2 goals, 2 assists, rating 7.05)
Tomás Palacios (1 goal, 1 assist, rating 7.15)
门将
Álvaro Montero is in goal for the hosts
Fabricio Iacovich guards the away goal with a strong rating of 7.32 this season
Boca Juniors have kept 9 clean sheets overall, while Estudiantes have kept 10
影响因素
The Estadio Alberto José Armando averages 3.4 total goals per game
Boca Juniors show home strength with 1.43 goals scored per home game