🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Deportivo Riestra - Barracas Central

08/02/2026, 05:30 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Deportivo Riestra
0.9
Total xG
1.6
Barracas Central
0.7
最可能的比分

0:0

22%

1:0

17%

1:1

14%

0:1

12%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
DRBC

Deportivo Riestra

状态上升 (1.5 vs 0.7 赛季平均)
+0.24
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.15
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.11
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.10
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第9位, 相差6位)
-0.06
主场表现强势 (场均1球 vs 总体0.7球)

Barracas Central

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-0.40
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.17
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.10
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第15位, 相差6位)
+0.02
Fernando Tobio替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅95%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.5球 vs 总体1.1球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

38%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

49%

Under 1.5

51%

Over 2.5

22%

Under 2.5

78%

Over 3.5

8%

Under 3.5

92%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

62%

双方进球

31%

69%

关键因素
  • Tactical focus: Both teams played counter-oriented in recent matches, with Deportivo Riestra averaging only 29% possession in past games
  • Defensive fortress: Deportivo Riestra defend extremely well at home, conceding a meager 0.29 average goals per home game this season
  • Lack of goals: According to the model, the probability of over 2.5 goals is at a very low 22%, supported by a historical low-scoring rate at this venue
风险因素
  • High draw risk: The mathematical model calculates the probability of a draw at a high 38%
  • Hosts' offensive struggles: Deportivo Riestra failed to score in 12 of their 18 matches this season
  • Injury absences: Barracas Central must play without D. Martínez and J. Morales, weakening their squad depth
概述

Deportivo Riestra host Barracas Central at the Estadio Guillermo Laza

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 2, 2026, 6:30 PM

The hosts are in 15th place with 11 points while Barracas Central occupy 9th place with 21 points

An important mid-table encounter

近期状态

Deportivo Riestra show a form of LWDWL with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

The home team suffered a defeat in their last match

Barracas Central travel with a form of DDLWW (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)

The visitors are coming off 2 consecutive wins

Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Deportivo Riestra score an average of 0.5 goals per match and concede 0.78 goals this season

In home games, Riestra concede only 0.29 goals on average while scoring 0.5 goals

Barracas Central score an average of 0.94 goals per game and concede 0.83 goals

Away from home, the visitors average 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 goal conceded per match

Deportivo Riestra have also kept 7 clean sheets this season

历史交锋

There have been 3 head-to-head matches between these teams

Deportivo Riestra have won 0 matches while Barracas Central registered 1 win and 2 draws

The goal difference is 1:2 from Riestra's perspective

The last meeting on February 1, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw

关键球员

Antony Alonso has scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist in 18 appearances this season

Cristian Paz brings stability having completed 17 league matches

Alexander Díaz contributed 1 goal in 12 league matches

Tomás Porra recorded 1 goal and 3 assists in 18 appearances

Rodrigo Insúa is a key performer with 3 goals and 1 assist in 18 matches

Iván Tapia registered 1 goal and 2 assists in 18 matches

门将

Ignacio Arce has guarded Deportivo Riestra's goal 18 times this season, holding an average rating of 7.26

Marcelo Miño has played 13 matches for Barracas Central with a strong rating of 7.4

Both goalkeepers have proven to be reliable supports for their teams this season

影响因素

An average of only 1.6 goals are scored per match at the Estadio Guillermo Laza

The both teams to score rate is a very low 20% at this venue

Riestra utilize their home advantage defensively, conceding just 0.29 goals per home game

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。