🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Lanús - Instituto

08/03/2026, 12:30 AM

0 : 1
预期进球
Lanús
1.1
Total xG
2.1
Instituto
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

13%

0:1

10%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
LANINS

Lanús

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.32
状态下滑 (0.3 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.28
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.21倍)
-0.09
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.06
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.03
Ramiro Carrera替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Yoshan Valois替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
65%进球产出缺失 (仅51%可用)

Instituto

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.17
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.09
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.82倍)
-0.05
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.02
Gastón Lodico替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

34%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

63%

Under 1.5

37%

Over 2.5

34%

Under 2.5

66%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

66%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Critical squad impact for Lanús: Only 51% of the usual starting goal threat is available as key players Ramiro Carrera (2G/3A) and Yoshan Valois (2G/0A) are missing
  • Home defense vs away struggles: Lanús concedes only 0.56 goals per home game, whereas Instituto concedes 1.67 goals on average on the road
  • Historical home dominance: Lanús remains unbeaten in head-to-head home fixtures against Instituto with 2 wins and 2 draws
风险因素
  • Fatigue factor for the visitors: Instituto has had only 4 days of rest since their last match, compared to 8 days of recovery for Lanús
  • Low-scoring stadium trend: Venue history at this stadium shows an extremely low average of 0.4 total goals per match
概述

Lanús hosts Instituto at the Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

The home side sits 6th with 24 points while the visitors are 9th with 21 points

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 3, 2026, 1:30 AM

近期状态

Lanús displays a form string of LDDLW with a victory in their latest match

Instituto shows a form string of LDWLW and also won their last game

Both teams recovered with a win in their most recent fixture

Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Lanús averages 1.06 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded per game

The home defense is highly solid with only 0.56 goals conceded per home match

Instituto concedes an average of 1.67 goals per away game while scoring 1.00

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Lanús has 2 wins while 2 matches ended in a draw

The last encounter on February 4, 2026, ended in a 2:2 draw

Lanús leads the historical goals tally by 8 to 3

关键球员

Carlos Izquierdoz solidifies the Lanús defense and has scored 2 goals this season

Diego Sosa is a key playmaker for Instituto with 4 assists and 1 goal

Alex Luna is the top threat in Instituto's midfield with 5 goals this season

门将

Nahuel Losada has recorded 8 clean sheets this season for the home side

Marcos Ledesma guards the goal for the visitors with a season rating of 6.91

影响因素

Home advantage is strong with Lanús securing 6 clean sheets in 9 home games

The match history at this venue shows extremely low-scoring games with only 0.4 goals per match on average

The match will be played on natural grass

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。